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Red Cat Holdings (Red Cat Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-2.19 (As of May. 29, 2024)


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What is Red Cat Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-29), Red Cat Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-2.19. The stock price of Red Cat Holdings is $1.00. Therefore, Red Cat Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Red Cat Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Red Cat Holdings was 22.50. The lowest was 1.46. And the median was 6.42.

RCAT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 1.46
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Red Cat Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Red Cat Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Red Cat Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Red Cat Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -59.71 -0.45 -0.27 0.50 -0.71

Red Cat Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.20 -0.71 -0.93 -1.09 -2.19

Competitive Comparison of Red Cat Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Computer Hardware subindustry, Red Cat Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Red Cat Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Red Cat Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Red Cat Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Red Cat Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Red Cat Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-10.88.

Red Cat Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*-10.87792+49.573*0.8)/55.688
=-2.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Red Cat Holdings  (NAS:RCAT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Red Cat Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.00/-2.1910708536685
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Red Cat Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Red Cat Holdings (Red Cat Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
15 Avenue Munoz Rivera, Suite 2200, San Juan, PR, USA, 00901
Red Cat Holdings Inc is a military technology company that integrates robotic hardware and software to provide critical situational awareness and actionable intelligence to on-the-ground warfighters and battlefield commanders. Its mission is to enhance the effectiveness and safety of military operations domestically and globally. Red Cat's suite of solutions includes Teal Drones, developer of the Golden Eagle, a small unmanned system with the highest resolution imaging for night-time operations, and Skypersonic, a leading provider of unmanned aircraft for interior spaces and other dangerous environments.
Executives
Allan Thomas Evans officer: CEO of Fat Shark Holdings, Ltd 1400 VILLAGE SQ BLVD, UNIT #3-80448, TALLAHASSEE FL 32312
Nick Jr Liuzza director 79 WAPPING ROAD, PORTSMOUTH RI 02871
Jeffrey M Thompson director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO 5 SHELL CASTLE CLUB, PALMAS DEL MAR PR 00791
Joseph David Freedman director 945 SOUTHSIDE PLACE, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Mary Beth Long director 309 FRANKLIN STREET, ALEXANDRIA VA 22314
Christopher R. Moe director 36 PROSPECT FARM ROAD, PORTSMOUTH RI 02871
George Michael Matus officer: CEO of Teal Drones subsidiary 5200 S HIGHLAND DRIVE, SUITE 201, HOLLADAY 2J 84117
Gregory Ralph French 10 percent owner 280 RALEIGH QUAY, WEST BAY E9 KY1-1300
Brains Riding In Tanks, Llc 10 percent owner 8861 DAY AVE SW, NAVARRE OH 44662
Joseph P Hernon officer: CFO, Secretary and Treasurer 1607 PONCE DE LEON AVENUE, SUITE 407, SAN JUAN PR 00909
Patrick Thomas Mitchell director 10615 JEFFERSON HWY, BATON ROUGE LA 70809
Gary R Smith director 2401 PGA BLVD, SUITE 272, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33410
Lou Iii Werner director 6900 E. CAMELBACK ROAD, SUITE 1020, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Jessica L Smith officer: Interim CFO 8399 E. INDIAN SCHOOL RD., SUITE 202, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
John M. Wise director, 10 percent owner, officer: President 7690 E. CAMELBACK ROAD, SUITE 511, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251