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Red Cat Holdings (Red Cat Holdings) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 29, 2024)


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What is Red Cat Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-29), Red Cat Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Red Cat Holdings's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Red Cat Holdings is

The historical rank and industry rank for Red Cat Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

RCAT's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 1.025
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Red Cat Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Red Cat Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Red Cat Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Red Cat Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Red Cat Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
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Competitive Comparison of Red Cat Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Computer Hardware subindustry, Red Cat Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Red Cat Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Red Cat Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Red Cat Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Red Cat Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.57%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Red Cat Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 1.00) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Red Cat Holdings  (NAS:RCAT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Red Cat Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Red Cat Holdings (Red Cat Holdings) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Red Cat Holdings Inc (NAS:RCAT) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
15 Avenue Munoz Rivera, Suite 2200, San Juan, PR, USA, 00901
Red Cat Holdings Inc is a military technology company that integrates robotic hardware and software to provide critical situational awareness and actionable intelligence to on-the-ground warfighters and battlefield commanders. Its mission is to enhance the effectiveness and safety of military operations domestically and globally. Red Cat's suite of solutions includes Teal Drones, developer of the Golden Eagle, a small unmanned system with the highest resolution imaging for night-time operations, and Skypersonic, a leading provider of unmanned aircraft for interior spaces and other dangerous environments.
Executives
Allan Thomas Evans officer: CEO of Fat Shark Holdings, Ltd 1400 VILLAGE SQ BLVD, UNIT #3-80448, TALLAHASSEE FL 32312
Nick Jr Liuzza director 79 WAPPING ROAD, PORTSMOUTH RI 02871
Jeffrey M Thompson director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO 5 SHELL CASTLE CLUB, PALMAS DEL MAR PR 00791
Joseph David Freedman director 945 SOUTHSIDE PLACE, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Mary Beth Long director 309 FRANKLIN STREET, ALEXANDRIA VA 22314
Christopher R. Moe director 36 PROSPECT FARM ROAD, PORTSMOUTH RI 02871
George Michael Matus officer: CEO of Teal Drones subsidiary 5200 S HIGHLAND DRIVE, SUITE 201, HOLLADAY 2J 84117
Gregory Ralph French 10 percent owner 280 RALEIGH QUAY, WEST BAY E9 KY1-1300
Brains Riding In Tanks, Llc 10 percent owner 8861 DAY AVE SW, NAVARRE OH 44662
Joseph P Hernon officer: CFO, Secretary and Treasurer 1607 PONCE DE LEON AVENUE, SUITE 407, SAN JUAN PR 00909
Patrick Thomas Mitchell director 10615 JEFFERSON HWY, BATON ROUGE LA 70809
Gary R Smith director 2401 PGA BLVD, SUITE 272, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33410
Lou Iii Werner director 6900 E. CAMELBACK ROAD, SUITE 1020, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Jessica L Smith officer: Interim CFO 8399 E. INDIAN SCHOOL RD., SUITE 202, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
John M. Wise director, 10 percent owner, officer: President 7690 E. CAMELBACK ROAD, SUITE 511, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251