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Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry (HKSE:02373) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.21

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry  (HKSE:02373) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry (HKSE:02373) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No.1089 Dongdaming Road, Unit 1206, 12th Floor, Hongkou District, Shanghai, CHN
Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry Inc is an investment holding company. The Company and its subsidiaries are principally engaged in providing beauty and health management service, including traditional beauty services, aesthetic medical services as well as subhealth assessment and intervention services in the People's Republic of China.
Executives
Li Yang 2202 Interest of your spouse
Li Fangyu 2101 Beneficial owner
Lian Songyong 2103 Interests held jointly with another person
Chen Xiaomei 2101 Beneficial owner
Trident Trust Company (hk) Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shang Hai Pan Xin Yan Zhao Tou Zi Zi Xun You Xian Gong Si
Shang Hai Pan Xin Jia Ceng Tou Zi Guan Li You Xian Gong Si
Shang Hai You De Gu Quan Tou Zi Zhong Xin You Xian He Huo
Shang Hai Xin Zhi Yu Yuan Qi Ye Guan Li He Huo Qi Ye You Xian He Huo
Shang Hai Pan Nuo Qi Ye Guan Li Fu Wu You Xian Gong Si
Bei Jing You De Tou Zi Guan Li Zhong Xin You Xian He Huo
Bei Jing Xin Yu Tou Zi Zhong Xin You Xian He Huo
Zhong Xin Chan Ye Tou Zi Ji Jin Guan Li You Xian Gong Si
Liansy Family Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lfye Management Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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