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Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry (HKSE:02373) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : HK$12.26 (As of Dec23)


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What is Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's earnings power value is HK$12.26. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -26.44

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
- - - - 12.55

Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry Semi-Annual Data
Dec19 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 12.55

Competitive Comparison of Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 1,940
DDA 318
Operating Margin % 12.47
SGA * 25% 42
Tax Rate % 18.21
Maintenance Capex 107
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,722
Short-Term Debt 185
Long-Term Debt 431
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 230

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 12.47%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = HK$1,940 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 12.47%, Average Adjusted SGA = 42,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,940 * 12.47% +42 = HK$283.83305956 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 18.21%, and "Normalized" EBIT = HK$283.83305956 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 283.83305956 * ( 1 - 18.21% ) = HK$232.14138275293 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 318 * 0.5 * 18.21% = HK$28.919454008 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 232.14138275293 + 28.919454008 = HK$261.06083676093 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's Average Maintenance CAPEX = HK$107 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's current cash and cash equivalent = HK$1,722 Mil.
Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 431 + 185 = HK$615.929 Mil.
Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 230 Mil.

Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 261.06083676093 - 107)/ 9%+1,722-615.929 )/230
=12.26

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 12.258343342196-15.50 )/12.258343342196
= -26.44%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry  (HKSE:02373) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry (HKSE:02373) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No.1089 Dongdaming Road, Unit 1206, 12th Floor, Hongkou District, Shanghai, CHN
Beauty Farm Medical & Health Industry Inc is an investment holding company. The Company and its subsidiaries are principally engaged in providing beauty and health management service, including traditional beauty services, aesthetic medical services as well as subhealth assessment and intervention services in the People's Republic of China.
Executives
Li Yang 2202 Interest of your spouse
Li Fangyu 2101 Beneficial owner
Lian Songyong 2103 Interests held jointly with another person
Chen Xiaomei 2101 Beneficial owner
Trident Trust Company (hk) Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shang Hai Pan Xin Yan Zhao Tou Zi Zi Xun You Xian Gong Si
Shang Hai Pan Xin Jia Ceng Tou Zi Guan Li You Xian Gong Si
Shang Hai You De Gu Quan Tou Zi Zhong Xin You Xian He Huo
Shang Hai Xin Zhi Yu Yuan Qi Ye Guan Li He Huo Qi Ye You Xian He Huo
Shang Hai Pan Nuo Qi Ye Guan Li Fu Wu You Xian Gong Si
Bei Jing You De Tou Zi Guan Li Zhong Xin You Xian He Huo
Bei Jing Xin Yu Tou Zi Zhong Xin You Xian He Huo
Zhong Xin Chan Ye Tou Zi Ji Jin Guan Li You Xian Gong Si
Liansy Family Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lfye Management Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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