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Alcomet AD (XBUL:ALCM) Altman Z-Score : 2.70 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Alcomet AD Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.7 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Alcomet AD has a Altman Z-Score of 2.70, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Alcomet AD is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alcomet AD's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XBUL:ALCM' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.65   Med: 2.13   Max: 3.7
Current: 2.7

During the past 13 years, Alcomet AD's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.70. The lowest was 1.65. And the median was 2.13.


Alcomet AD Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alcomet AD's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alcomet AD Altman Z-Score Chart

Alcomet AD Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.33 1.84 1.65 1.69 2.76

Alcomet AD Semi-Annual Data
Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.33 1.84 1.65 1.69 2.76

Competitive Comparison of Alcomet AD's Altman Z-Score

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcomet AD's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcomet AD's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcomet AD's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcomet AD's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Alcomet AD Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Alcomet AD's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1628+1.4*0.2558+3.3*0.1275+0.6*0.6234+1.0*1.3475
=2.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2022:
Total Assets was лв511.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв228.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв144.7 Mil.
Retained Earnings was лв130.9 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was лв62.7 Mil.
Interest Expense was лв-2.6 Mil.
Revenue was лв689.4 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was лв123.9 Mil.
Total Liabilities was лв198.7 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(228.03 - 144.735)/511.645
=0.1628

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=130.882/511.645
=0.2558

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(62.657 - -2.603)/511.645
=0.1275

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=123.875/198.7
=0.6234

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=689.439/511.645
=1.3475

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Alcomet AD has a Altman Z-Score of 2.70 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Alcomet AD  (XBUL:ALCM) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Alcomet AD Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Alcomet AD (XBUL:ALCM) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Second Industrial Zone, Shumen, BGR, 9700
Alcomet AD is a Bulgaria-based company, which is primarily engaged in the production of aluminium extruded and rolled products. Its operation includes production and sale of castings, rolled and extruded aluminum products, used in machine building, construction, food industry, among others. The company offers its product under various categories namely foundry, rolled, press and packaging products. Its product range includes cast billets and coils, aluminum sheets, strips and foils, extruded profiles, bars and tubes, as well as powder coating sheets, and tubes. Alcomet products sold in both Bulgarian and overseas market.

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