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Alcomet AD (XBUL:ALCM) Beneish M-Score : -2.53 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Alcomet AD Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.53 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alcomet AD's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XBUL:ALCM' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.06   Med: -2.52   Max: -1.55
Current: -2.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alcomet AD was -1.55. The lowest was -3.06. And the median was -2.52.


Alcomet AD Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alcomet AD's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alcomet AD Beneish M-Score Chart

Alcomet AD Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -3.06 -2.20 -1.55 -2.53

Alcomet AD Semi-Annual Data
Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -3.06 -2.20 -1.55 -2.53

Competitive Comparison of Alcomet AD's Beneish M-Score

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcomet AD's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcomet AD's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcomet AD's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcomet AD's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Alcomet AD Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alcomet AD for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6496+0.528 * 0.5242+0.404 * 0.926+0.892 * 1.3415+0.115 * 1.1353
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8586+4.679 * 0.020708-0.327 * 0.6629
=-2.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was лв76.4 Mil.
Revenue was лв689.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was лв85.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв228.0 Mil.
Total Assets was лв511.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was лв277.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was лв20.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was лв26.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв144.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was лв40.9 Mil.
Net Income was лв56.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was лв0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was лв45.8 Mil.
Total Receivables was лв87.7 Mil.
Revenue was лв513.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was лв33.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв221.4 Mil.
Total Assets was лв462.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was лв235.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was лв19.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was лв23.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв208.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was лв44.4 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(76.395 / 689.439) / (87.67 / 513.928)
=0.110807 / 0.170588
=0.6496

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(33.554 / 513.928) / (85.877 / 689.439)
=0.065289 / 0.124561
=0.5242

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (228.03 + 277.523) / 511.645) / (1 - (221.442 + 235.15) / 462.54)
=0.011907 / 0.012859
=0.926

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=689.439 / 513.928
=1.3415

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(19.546 / (19.546 + 235.15)) / (20.119 / (20.119 + 277.523))
=0.076742 / 0.067595
=1.1353

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(26.617 / 689.439) / (23.11 / 513.928)
=0.038607 / 0.044967
=0.8586

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((40.875 + 144.735) / 511.645) / ((44.352 + 208.769) / 462.54)
=0.362771 / 0.547241
=0.6629

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(56.375 - 0 - 45.78) / 511.645
=0.020708

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alcomet AD has a M-score of -2.53 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Alcomet AD Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Alcomet AD (XBUL:ALCM) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Second Industrial Zone, Shumen, BGR, 9700
Alcomet AD is a Bulgaria-based company, which is primarily engaged in the production of aluminium extruded and rolled products. Its operation includes production and sale of castings, rolled and extruded aluminum products, used in machine building, construction, food industry, among others. The company offers its product under various categories namely foundry, rolled, press and packaging products. Its product range includes cast billets and coils, aluminum sheets, strips and foils, extruded profiles, bars and tubes, as well as powder coating sheets, and tubes. Alcomet products sold in both Bulgarian and overseas market.

Alcomet AD (XBUL:ALCM) Headlines

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