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Alcomet AD (XBUL:ALCM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : лв6.79 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Alcomet AD Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-14), Alcomet AD's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is лв6.79. The stock price of Alcomet AD is лв6.90. Therefore, Alcomet AD's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alcomet AD's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XBUL:ALCM' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.88   Med: 1.66   Max: 3.41
Current: 1.02

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alcomet AD was 3.41. The lowest was 0.88. And the median was 1.66.

XBUL:ALCM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
62.77% of 591 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 1.34 vs XBUL:ALCM: 1.02

Alcomet AD Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alcomet AD's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alcomet AD Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Alcomet AD Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.10 8.24 7.82 3.15 6.79

Alcomet AD Semi-Annual Data
Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.10 8.24 7.82 3.15 6.79

Competitive Comparison of Alcomet AD's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcomet AD's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcomet AD's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcomet AD's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcomet AD's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Alcomet AD Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)



Alcomet AD  (XBUL:ALCM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Alcomet AD's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=6.90/
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alcomet AD Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alcomet AD's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alcomet AD (XBUL:ALCM) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Second Industrial Zone, Shumen, BGR, 9700
Alcomet AD is a Bulgaria-based company, which is primarily engaged in the production of aluminium extruded and rolled products. Its operation includes production and sale of castings, rolled and extruded aluminum products, used in machine building, construction, food industry, among others. The company offers its product under various categories namely foundry, rolled, press and packaging products. Its product range includes cast billets and coils, aluminum sheets, strips and foils, extruded profiles, bars and tubes, as well as powder coating sheets, and tubes. Alcomet products sold in both Bulgarian and overseas market.

Alcomet AD (XBUL:ALCM) Headlines

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