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The Real Good Food Company (The Real Good Food Company) Altman Z-Score : 0.16 (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is The Real Good Food Company Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.16 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

The Real Good Food Company has a Altman Z-Score of 0.16, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Real Good Food Company's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

RGF' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.74   Med: -0.2   Max: 0.37
Current: 0.16

During the past 4 years, The Real Good Food Company's highest Altman Z-Score was 0.37. The lowest was -0.74. And the median was -0.20.


The Real Good Food Company Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Real Good Food Company's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Real Good Food Company Altman Z-Score Chart

The Real Good Food Company Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Altman Z-Score
- - -0.62 0.37

The Real Good Food Company Quarterly Data
Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.55 0.37 0.20 0.15 0.25

Competitive Comparison of The Real Good Food Company's Altman Z-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, The Real Good Food Company's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Real Good Food Company's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Real Good Food Company's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Real Good Food Company's Altman Z-Score falls into.



The Real Good Food Company Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

The Real Good Food Company's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2134+1.4*-0.2203+3.3*-0.2573+0.6*0.0442+1.0*1.0308
=0.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2023:
Total Assets was $151.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $90.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $58.2 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-33.4 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -13.121 + -14.586 + -13.677 + -11.905 = $-53.3 Mil.
Interest Expense was -4.257 + -3.949 + -3.282 + -2.771 = $-14.3 Mil.
Revenue was 55.565 + 35.363 + 29.798 + 35.653 = $156.4 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $8.6 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $195.4 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(90.614 - 58.241)/151.712
=0.2134

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-33.428/151.712
=-0.2203

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-53.289 - -14.259)/151.712
=-0.2573

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=8.646/195.428
=0.0442

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=156.379/151.712
=1.0308

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

The Real Good Food Company has a Altman Z-Score of 0.16 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


The Real Good Food Company  (NAS:RGF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


The Real Good Food Company Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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The Real Good Food Company (The Real Good Food Company) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3 Executive Campus, Suite 155, Cherry Hill, NJ, USA, 08002
The Real Good Food Company Inc is an innovative, high-growth, branded, health- and wellness-focused frozen food company. It develops, markets, and manufactures delicious and convenient comfort foods designed to be high in protein, low in sugar, and made from gluten- and grain-free ingredients that are intended to be sold in the health and wellness segment of the frozen food category. All of its revenue is derived from the United States.
Executives
Bryan T. Freeman director, 10 percent owner, officer: See Remarks 3 EXECUTIVE CAMPUS, SUITE 155, CHERRY HILL NJ 08002
David Kanen 10 percent owner 6429 NW 65TH WAY, PARKLAND FL 33067
Philotimo Focused Growth & Income Fund 10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses 5850 CORAL RIDGE DRIVE, SUITE 309, CORAL SPRINGS FL 33076
Kanen Wealth Management Llc 10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses 5850 CORAL RIDGE DRIVE, SUITE 309, CORAL SPRINGS FL 33076
Philotimo Fund, Lp 10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses 5850 CORAL RIDGE DRIVE, SUITE 309, CORAL SPRINGS FL 33076
Mark Joseph Nelson director LOCAL BOUNTI CORPORATION, 220 W MAIN STREET, HAMILTON MT 59840
Gerard Garfield Law director, officer: See Remarks 3 EXECUTIVE CAMPUS, SUITE 155, CHERRY HILL NJ 08002
De Cardenas Gilbert B. director 3 EXECUTIVE CAMPUS, SUITE 155, CHERRY HILL NJ 08002
Akshay Jagdale officer: Chief Financial Officer 3 EXECUTIVE CAMPUS, SUITE 155, CHERRY HILL NJ 08002
Strand Equity Partners Iii, Llc 10 percent owner 1888 CENTURY PARK EAST, SUITE 1440, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Josh Schreider 10 percent owner 3 EXECUTIVE CAMPUS, SUITE 155, CHERRYL HILL NJ 08002
Awm Investment Company, Inc. 10 percent owner 527 MADISON AVENUE, SUITE 2600, NEW YORK NY 10022
Andrew J Stiffelman 10 percent owner, officer: See Remarks 3 EXECUTIVE CAMPUS, SUITE 155, CHERRY HILL NJ 08002
Deanna T Brady director 1 HORMEL STREET, AUSTIN MN 55912
Seth Rodsky 10 percent owner 1888 CENTURY PARK EAST, SUITE 1440, LOS ANGELES CA 90067

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