GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Beverages - Alcoholic » The Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NYSE:NAPA) » Definitions » Altman Z-Score

The Duckhorn Portfolio (The Duckhorn Portfolio) Altman Z-Score : 2.64 (As of May. 04, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is The Duckhorn Portfolio Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.67 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

The Duckhorn Portfolio has a Altman Z-Score of 2.64, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that The Duckhorn Portfolio is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Duckhorn Portfolio's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NAPA' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.43   Med: 3.84   Max: 4.87
Current: 2.67

During the past 5 years, The Duckhorn Portfolio's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.87. The lowest was 2.43. And the median was 3.84.


The Duckhorn Portfolio Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Duckhorn Portfolio's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Duckhorn Portfolio Altman Z-Score Chart

The Duckhorn Portfolio Annual Data
Trend Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Altman Z-Score
- - 4.87 4.25 3.20

The Duckhorn Portfolio Quarterly Data
Jul19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.76 3.63 3.20 2.45 2.43

Competitive Comparison of The Duckhorn Portfolio's Altman Z-Score

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, The Duckhorn Portfolio's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Duckhorn Portfolio's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Duckhorn Portfolio's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Duckhorn Portfolio's Altman Z-Score falls into.



The Duckhorn Portfolio Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

The Duckhorn Portfolio's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2818+1.4*0.1647+3.3*0.0743+0.6*2.5829+1.0*0.2787
=2.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was $1,424.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $469.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $68.6 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $234.5 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 21.875 + 21.179 + 24.593 + 22.8 = $90.4 Mil.
Interest Expense was -4.5 + -4.004 + -3.882 + -2.993 = $-15.4 Mil.
Revenue was 103.045 + 102.509 + 100.095 + 91.242 = $396.9 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $1,155.0 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $447.1 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(469.849 - 68.591)/1423.95
=0.2818

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=234.516/1423.95
=0.1647

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(90.447 - -15.379)/1423.95
=0.0743

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1154.953/447.146
=2.5829

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=396.891/1423.95
=0.2787

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

The Duckhorn Portfolio has a Altman Z-Score of 2.64 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


The Duckhorn Portfolio  (NYSE:NAPA) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


The Duckhorn Portfolio Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Duckhorn Portfolio's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Duckhorn Portfolio (The Duckhorn Portfolio) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1201 Dowdell Lane, Saint Helena, CA, USA, 94574
The Duckhorn Portfolio Inc produces luxury and ultra-luxury wine across a portfolio of winery brands, including Duckhorn Vineyards, Paraduxx, Goldeneye, Migration, Decoy, Canvasback, Calera, Kosta Browne, Greenwing, and Postmark. Its revenue is comprised of wholesale and direct-to-consumer sales. Wholesale revenue is generated through sales directly to California retailers and restaurants, sales to distributors and agents located in other states throughout the United States, and sales to export distributors that sell internationally.
Executives
Sullivan Sean B.a. officer: See Remarks 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Pete Przybylinski officer: Chief Sales Officer 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Zach Rasmuson officer: Chief Operating Officer 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Deirdre Mahlan director 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Jung Jennifer Fall officer: See Remarks C/O FUNKO, INC., WETMORE AVENUE, EVERETT WA 98201
Mallard Holdco, Llc 10 percent owner C/O TSG CONSUMER PARTNERS LP, 1100 LARKSPUR LANDING CIRCLE, SUITE 360, LARKSPUR CA 94939
Lori Beaudoin officer: Chief Financial Officer 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Adriel G Lares director C/O FASTLY, INC., 475 BRANNAN STREET, SUITE 300, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Alex Ryan director, officer: See Remarks 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Gayle Bartscherer officer: See Remarks C/O DUCKHORN PORTFOLIO, INC., 1201 DOWDELL AVENUE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Carol Reber officer: See Remarks 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Michelle J. Gloeckler director C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB, INC., 350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Charles Esserman director 26 FOX RUN ROAD, NEWINGTON NH 03801
Melanie Cox director C/O REVOLVE GROUP, INC., 12889 MOORE ST., CERRITOS CA 90703
Daniel Costello director 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574

The Duckhorn Portfolio (The Duckhorn Portfolio) Headlines