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The Duckhorn Portfolio (The Duckhorn Portfolio) Beneish M-Score : -2.40 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is The Duckhorn Portfolio Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.4 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Duckhorn Portfolio's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NAPA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.59   Med: -2.42   Max: -2.17
Current: -2.4

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Duckhorn Portfolio was -2.17. The lowest was -2.59. And the median was -2.42.


The Duckhorn Portfolio Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Duckhorn Portfolio's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Duckhorn Portfolio Beneish M-Score Chart

The Duckhorn Portfolio Annual Data
Trend Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Beneish M-Score
- - - -2.42 -2.29

The Duckhorn Portfolio Quarterly Data
Jul19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.43 -2.52 -2.29 -2.55 -2.40

Competitive Comparison of The Duckhorn Portfolio's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, The Duckhorn Portfolio's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Duckhorn Portfolio's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Duckhorn Portfolio's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Duckhorn Portfolio's Beneish M-Score falls into.



The Duckhorn Portfolio Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Duckhorn Portfolio for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0301+0.528 * 0.9227+0.404 * 0.9078+0.892 * 1.041+0.115 * 0.9558
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0341+4.679 * 0.026575-0.327 * 1.0557
=-2.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $51.8 Mil.
Revenue was 103.045 + 102.509 + 100.095 + 91.242 = $396.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was 58.318 + 53.853 + 55.282 + 50.511 = $218.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $469.8 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,424.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $342.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $31.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $114.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $68.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $287.8 Mil.
Net Income was 15.857 + 15.537 + 17.769 + 16.797 = $66.0 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -2.696 + 1.813 + 3.597 + -0.729 = $2.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -43.927 + 18.066 + 18.339 + 33.656 = $26.1 Mil.
Total Receivables was $48.3 Mil.
Revenue was 103.488 + 108.171 + 78.009 + 91.584 = $381.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was 55.186 + 54.71 + 39.331 + 43.962 = $193.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $395.8 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,307.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $293.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $25.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $106.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $76.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $233.6 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(51.822 / 396.891) / (48.324 / 381.252)
=0.13057 / 0.126751
=1.0301

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(193.189 / 381.252) / (217.964 / 396.891)
=0.506723 / 0.549178
=0.9227

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (469.849 + 342.398) / 1423.95) / (1 - (395.765 + 292.994) / 1307.461)
=0.429582 / 0.473209
=0.9078

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=396.891 / 381.252
=1.041

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(25.67 / (25.67 + 292.994)) / (31.515 / (31.515 + 342.398))
=0.080555 / 0.084284
=0.9558

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(114.123 / 396.891) / (106.009 / 381.252)
=0.287542 / 0.278055
=1.0341

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((287.822 + 68.591) / 1423.95) / ((233.633 + 76.37) / 1307.461)
=0.250299 / 0.237103
=1.0557

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(65.96 - 1.985 - 26.134) / 1423.95
=0.026575

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Duckhorn Portfolio has a M-score of -2.40 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


The Duckhorn Portfolio Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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The Duckhorn Portfolio (The Duckhorn Portfolio) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1201 Dowdell Lane, Saint Helena, CA, USA, 94574
The Duckhorn Portfolio Inc produces luxury and ultra-luxury wine across a portfolio of winery brands, including Duckhorn Vineyards, Paraduxx, Goldeneye, Migration, Decoy, Canvasback, Calera, Kosta Browne, Greenwing, and Postmark. Its revenue is comprised of wholesale and direct-to-consumer sales. Wholesale revenue is generated through sales directly to California retailers and restaurants, sales to distributors and agents located in other states throughout the United States, and sales to export distributors that sell internationally.
Executives
Sullivan Sean B.a. officer: See Remarks 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Pete Przybylinski officer: Chief Sales Officer 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Zach Rasmuson officer: Chief Operating Officer 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Deirdre Mahlan director 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Jung Jennifer Fall officer: See Remarks C/O FUNKO, INC., WETMORE AVENUE, EVERETT WA 98201
Mallard Holdco, Llc 10 percent owner C/O TSG CONSUMER PARTNERS LP, 1100 LARKSPUR LANDING CIRCLE, SUITE 360, LARKSPUR CA 94939
Lori Beaudoin officer: Chief Financial Officer 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Adriel G Lares director C/O FASTLY, INC., 475 BRANNAN STREET, SUITE 300, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Alex Ryan director, officer: See Remarks 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Gayle Bartscherer officer: See Remarks C/O DUCKHORN PORTFOLIO, INC., 1201 DOWDELL AVENUE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Carol Reber officer: See Remarks 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Michelle J. Gloeckler director C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB, INC., 350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Charles Esserman director 26 FOX RUN ROAD, NEWINGTON NH 03801
Melanie Cox director C/O REVOLVE GROUP, INC., 12889 MOORE ST., CERRITOS CA 90703
Daniel Costello director 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574

The Duckhorn Portfolio (The Duckhorn Portfolio) Headlines