GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure » Herald Holdings Ltd (HKSE:00114) » Definitions » Altman Z-Score

Herald Holdings (HKSE:00114) Altman Z-Score : 3.67 (As of Jun. 03, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1970. Start your Free Trial

What is Herald Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.67 is strong.

Herald Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 3.67, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Herald Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00114' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.45   Med: 3.08   Max: 3.76
Current: 3.67

During the past 13 years, Herald Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.76. The lowest was 2.45. And the median was 3.08.


Herald Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Herald Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Herald Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

Herald Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.52 2.84 2.61 2.45 3.73

Herald Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 2.45 - 3.73 -

Competitive Comparison of Herald Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Leisure subindustry, Herald Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Herald Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Herald Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Herald Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Herald Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Herald Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.4301+1.4*0.5008+3.3*0.1339+0.6*1.0245+1.0*1.3979
=3.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$903.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$585.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$196.8 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$452.5 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$117.9 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-3.1 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,263.0 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$253.9 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$247.8 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(585.386 - 196.768)/903.505
=0.4301

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=452.451/903.505
=0.5008

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(117.879 - -3.078)/903.505
=0.1339

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=253.886/247.803
=1.0245

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1262.978/903.505
=1.3979

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Herald Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 3.67 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Herald Holdings  (HKSE:00114) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Herald Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Herald Holdings's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Herald Holdings (HKSE:00114) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
89 Queensway, Lippo Centre, Room 3110, 31 Floor, Tower Two, Hong Kong, HKG
Herald Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. It operates in the segments of Toys, Computer Products, Timepieces, Investments, and Others. The group derives majority revenue from the Toys segment which involves the manufacturing of wide range of toys including action figures, electronic radio-controlled toy cars and boats, electronic games, and pre-school toys. The company along with its subsidiaries is also engaged in the manufacture, sale, and distribution of computer products, housewares, clocks, watches, and electronic and gift products. The company has the majority of its customers based in Hong Kong, North America, the United Kingdom, Europe, Asia, Mainland China, and Others. It generates the highest revenue from the North America region.
Executives
Dorfman Robert 2101 Beneficial owner
Dorfman Tillman Sheri 2202 Interest of your spouse
Dingler Trina Elaine 2202 Interest of your spouse
Cheung Tsang Kay Stan 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Ng Yiu Chi Eleanor 2202 Interest of your spouse
Hsbc International Trustee Limited 2301 Trustee
Moral Excel Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

Herald Holdings (HKSE:00114) Headlines

No Headlines