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Herald Holdings (HKSE:00114) Beneish M-Score : -3.15 (As of Jun. 03, 2024)


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What is Herald Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.15 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Herald Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00114' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.15   Med: -2.39   Max: -1.85
Current: -3.15

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Herald Holdings was -1.85. The lowest was -3.15. And the median was -2.39.


Herald Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Herald Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Herald Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Herald Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -2.89 -1.85 -1.93 -3.15

Herald Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -1.93 - -3.15 -

Competitive Comparison of Herald Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Leisure subindustry, Herald Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Herald Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Herald Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Herald Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Herald Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Herald Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9464+0.528 * 0.4302+0.404 * 0.8177+0.892 * 1.0747+0.115 * 0.6066
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9871+4.679 * -0.075165-0.327 * 0.7485
=-3.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$149.4 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,263.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$299.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$585.4 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$903.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$207.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$46.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$206.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$196.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$13.5 Mil.
Net Income was HK$82.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$150.2 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$146.9 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,175.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$120.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$579.7 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$972.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$246.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$30.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$194.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$294.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$8.4 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(149.443 / 1262.978) / (146.922 / 1175.142)
=0.118326 / 0.125025
=0.9464

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(119.986 / 1175.142) / (299.767 / 1262.978)
=0.102103 / 0.237349
=0.4302

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (585.386 + 206.992) / 903.505) / (1 - (579.7 + 246.493) / 972.463)
=0.122995 / 0.150412
=0.8177

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1262.978 / 1175.142
=1.0747

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(30.836 / (30.836 + 246.493)) / (46.454 / (46.454 + 206.992))
=0.111189 / 0.18329
=0.6066

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(206.532 / 1262.978) / (194.678 / 1175.142)
=0.163528 / 0.165663
=0.9871

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13.544 + 196.768) / 903.505) / ((8.354 + 294.059) / 972.463)
=0.232773 / 0.310976
=0.7485

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(82.327 - 0 - 150.239) / 903.505
=-0.075165

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Herald Holdings has a M-score of -3.15 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Herald Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Herald Holdings (HKSE:00114) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
89 Queensway, Lippo Centre, Room 3110, 31 Floor, Tower Two, Hong Kong, HKG
Herald Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. It operates in the segments of Toys, Computer Products, Timepieces, Investments, and Others. The group derives majority revenue from the Toys segment which involves the manufacturing of wide range of toys including action figures, electronic radio-controlled toy cars and boats, electronic games, and pre-school toys. The company along with its subsidiaries is also engaged in the manufacture, sale, and distribution of computer products, housewares, clocks, watches, and electronic and gift products. The company has the majority of its customers based in Hong Kong, North America, the United Kingdom, Europe, Asia, Mainland China, and Others. It generates the highest revenue from the North America region.
Executives
Dorfman Robert 2101 Beneficial owner
Dorfman Tillman Sheri 2202 Interest of your spouse
Dingler Trina Elaine 2202 Interest of your spouse
Cheung Tsang Kay Stan 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Ng Yiu Chi Eleanor 2202 Interest of your spouse
Hsbc International Trustee Limited 2301 Trustee
Moral Excel Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

Herald Holdings (HKSE:00114) Headlines

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