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Herald Holdings (HKSE:00114) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$0.57 (As of Jun. 03, 2024)


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What is Herald Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-03), Herald Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$0.57. The stock price of Herald Holdings is HK$0.42. Therefore, Herald Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Herald Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00114' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.44   Med: 1.2   Max: 2.75
Current: 0.74

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Herald Holdings was 2.75. The lowest was 0.44. And the median was 1.20.

HKSE:00114's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
68.78% of 567 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 1.15 vs HKSE:00114: 0.74

Herald Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Herald Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Herald Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Herald Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.46 0.53 0.55 0.23 0.57

Herald Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 0.23 - 0.57 -

Competitive Comparison of Herald Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Leisure subindustry, Herald Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Herald Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Herald Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Herald Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Herald Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Herald Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$-17.98.

Herald Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-17.981714285714+642.415*0.8)/604.491
=0.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Herald Holdings  (HKSE:00114) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Herald Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.42/0.56698901671293
=0.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Herald Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Herald Holdings (HKSE:00114) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
89 Queensway, Lippo Centre, Room 3110, 31 Floor, Tower Two, Hong Kong, HKG
Herald Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. It operates in the segments of Toys, Computer Products, Timepieces, Investments, and Others. The group derives majority revenue from the Toys segment which involves the manufacturing of wide range of toys including action figures, electronic radio-controlled toy cars and boats, electronic games, and pre-school toys. The company along with its subsidiaries is also engaged in the manufacture, sale, and distribution of computer products, housewares, clocks, watches, and electronic and gift products. The company has the majority of its customers based in Hong Kong, North America, the United Kingdom, Europe, Asia, Mainland China, and Others. It generates the highest revenue from the North America region.
Executives
Dorfman Robert 2101 Beneficial owner
Dorfman Tillman Sheri 2202 Interest of your spouse
Dingler Trina Elaine 2202 Interest of your spouse
Cheung Tsang Kay Stan 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Ng Yiu Chi Eleanor 2202 Interest of your spouse
Hsbc International Trustee Limited 2301 Trustee
Moral Excel Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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