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Avaya Holdings (Avaya Holdings) Altman Z-Score : -1.03 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Avaya Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Avaya Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of -1.03, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Avaya Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Avaya Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Avaya Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Avaya Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

Avaya Holdings Annual Data
Trend Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.85 2.14 0.35 0.25 0.67

Avaya Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.73 0.67 0.63 0.59 -1.01

Competitive Comparison of Avaya Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Software - Application subindustry, Avaya Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avaya Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Avaya Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avaya Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Avaya Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Avaya Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.051+1.4*-0.5672+3.3*-0.2831+0.6*0+1.0*0.6378
=-1.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2022:
Total Assets was $4,337 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,440 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,219 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-2,460 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -1394 + -14 + -48 + 13 = $-1,443 Mil.
Interest Expense was -54 + -54 + -54 + -53 = $-215 Mil.
Revenue was 577 + 716 + 713 + 760 = $2,766 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $0 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $5,133 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1440 - 1219)/4337
=0.051

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-2460/4337
=-0.5672

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-1443 - -215)/4337
=-0.2831

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=0.252/5133
=0

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2766/4337
=0.6378

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Avaya Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of -1.03 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Avaya Holdings  (OTCPK:AVYAQ) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Avaya Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Avaya Holdings (Avaya Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2605 Meridian Parkway, Suite 200, Durham, NC, USA, 27713
Avaya Holdings Corp provides digital communications products, solutions, and services for businesses. The company has two operating segments namely Products and Solutions, and Services. Products and Solutions offer Unified Communications and Contact Center platforms, applications and devices. It helps to offer an open, extensible development platform so that customers and third parties can easily create custom applications and automated workflows for their unique needs. Whereas Services consists of three business areas: Global Support Services, Enterprise Cloud and Managed Services and Professional Services. The company generates maximum revenue from the Services segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from the U.S.
Executives
Carrie W. Teffner director 200 DOMAIN DRIVE, STRATHAM NH 03885
King Theodore Walker Cheng-de 10 percent owner UNIT 1502, 15TH FLOOR, 99 HENNESSY ROAD, WANCHAI K3 999077
Jill Kathleen Frizzley director P.O. BOX 1541, ONE BLUE HILL PLAZA, PEARL RIVER NY 10965
Anna-marie Crowley officer: GVP, Human Resources C/O AVAYA, 350 MT. KEMBLE AVENUE, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Vito Carnevale officer: SVP, General Counsel C/O AVAYA, 350 MT. KEMBLE AVENUE, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Rebecca A Roof officer: Interim CFO C/O LORDSTOWN MOTORS CORP., 2300 HALLOCK YOUNG ROAD, LORDSTOWN OH 44481
Alan Masarek director, officer: President and CEO C/O VONAGE HOLDINGS CORP., 23 MAIN STREET, HOLMDEL NJ 07733
Stephen Spears officer: EVP and Chief Revenue Officer C/O AVAYA, 2605 MERIDIAN PKWY, SUITE 200, DURHAM NC 27713
James M Chirico director, officer: President & CEO 2605 MERIDIAN PARKWAY, DURHAM NC 27713
Kevin Speed officer: VP, Controller & CAO AVAYA, 350 MT. KEMBLE AVENUE, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Kieran J Mcgrath officer: SVP & CFO 350 MT. KEMBLE AVENUE, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Shefali A Shah officer: SVP, CAO and General Counsel C/O AVAYA, ONE PENN PLAZA, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10119
Susan Louise Spradley director C/O NORTEL NETWORKS, 8200 DIXIE ROAD STE 100, BRAMPTON ONTARIO A6 L6T 5PT
Robert I Theis director
Anthony Bartolo officer: EVP, Chief Product Officer C/O BANDWIDTH INC., 900 MAIN CAMPUS DRIVE, RALEIGH NC 27606

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