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Avaya Holdings (Avaya Holdings) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Avaya Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), Avaya Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Avaya Holdings's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Avaya Holdings is

The historical rank and industry rank for Avaya Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

AVYAQ's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Software industry.
Industry Median: 0.99
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Avaya Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Avaya Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Avaya Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Avaya Holdings Annual Data
Trend Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Avaya Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Avaya Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Avaya Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avaya Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Avaya Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avaya Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Avaya Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Avaya Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 0.0029) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Avaya Holdings  (OTCPK:AVYAQ) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Avaya Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Avaya Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Avaya Holdings (Avaya Holdings) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Avaya Holdings Corp (OTCPK:AVYAQ) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2605 Meridian Parkway, Suite 200, Durham, NC, USA, 27713
Avaya Holdings Corp provides digital communications products, solutions, and services for businesses. The company has two operating segments namely Products and Solutions, and Services. Products and Solutions offer Unified Communications and Contact Center platforms, applications and devices. It helps to offer an open, extensible development platform so that customers and third parties can easily create custom applications and automated workflows for their unique needs. Whereas Services consists of three business areas: Global Support Services, Enterprise Cloud and Managed Services and Professional Services. The company generates maximum revenue from the Services segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from the U.S.
Executives
Carrie W. Teffner director 200 DOMAIN DRIVE, STRATHAM NH 03885
King Theodore Walker Cheng-de 10 percent owner UNIT 1502, 15TH FLOOR, 99 HENNESSY ROAD, WANCHAI K3 999077
Jill Kathleen Frizzley director P.O. BOX 1541, ONE BLUE HILL PLAZA, PEARL RIVER NY 10965
Anna-marie Crowley officer: GVP, Human Resources C/O AVAYA, 350 MT. KEMBLE AVENUE, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Vito Carnevale officer: SVP, General Counsel C/O AVAYA, 350 MT. KEMBLE AVENUE, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Rebecca A Roof officer: Interim CFO C/O LORDSTOWN MOTORS CORP., 2300 HALLOCK YOUNG ROAD, LORDSTOWN OH 44481
Alan Masarek director, officer: President and CEO C/O VONAGE HOLDINGS CORP., 23 MAIN STREET, HOLMDEL NJ 07733
Stephen Spears officer: EVP and Chief Revenue Officer C/O AVAYA, 2605 MERIDIAN PKWY, SUITE 200, DURHAM NC 27713
James M Chirico director, officer: President & CEO 2605 MERIDIAN PARKWAY, DURHAM NC 27713
Kevin Speed officer: VP, Controller & CAO AVAYA, 350 MT. KEMBLE AVENUE, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Kieran J Mcgrath officer: SVP & CFO 350 MT. KEMBLE AVENUE, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Shefali A Shah officer: SVP, CAO and General Counsel C/O AVAYA, ONE PENN PLAZA, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10119
Susan Louise Spradley director C/O NORTEL NETWORKS, 8200 DIXIE ROAD STE 100, BRAMPTON ONTARIO A6 L6T 5PT
Robert I Theis director
Anthony Bartolo officer: EVP, Chief Product Officer C/O BANDWIDTH INC., 900 MAIN CAMPUS DRIVE, RALEIGH NC 27606

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