TEB Bancorp (TEB Bancorp) Predictability Rank

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What is TEB Bancorp Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

TEB Bancorp Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

TEB Bancorp Predictability Rank Related Terms

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TEB Bancorp (TEB Bancorp) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » TEB Bancorp Inc (OTCPK:TBBA) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2290 North Mayfair Road, Wauwatosa, WI, USA, 53226

Website

https://www.theequitablebank.com

TEB Bancorp Inc through its subsidiary is involved in banking services. Its business consists of taking deposits from the general public and investing those deposits, together with funds generated from operations, in one-to four-family residential real estate loans, multifamily residential real estate loans and commercial real estate loans, and, to a lesser extent, consumer loans, construction loans, land and development loans, and commercial and industrial loans.

Executives

Allen J Prochnow	director	2290 NORTH MAYFAIR ROAD, WAUWATOSA WI 53226
John Udvare	officer: Chief Financial Officer	2290 NORTH MAYFAIR ROAD, WAUWATOSA WI 53226
Rachelle Marquardt	director	2290 NORTH MAYFAIR ROAD, WAUWATOSA WI 53226
Thomas Sattler	officer: SVP	2290 NORTH MAYFAIR ROAD, WAUWATOSA WI 53226
Lauren Poppen	officer: Chief Financial Officer	2290 NORTH MAYFAIR ROAD, WAUWATOSA WI 53226
Otto R Radke	director	2290 NORTH MAYFAIR ROAD, WAUWATOSA WI 53226
John P Matter	director, officer: President and CEO	2290 NORTH MAYFAIR ROAD, WAUWATOSA WI 53226
Julie A Taylor	director	2290 NORTH MAYFAIR ROAD, WAUWATOSA WI 53226
Charles R Pittelkow	director, other: Chairman of the Board	2290 NORTH MAYFAIR ROAD, WAUWATOSA WI 53226
Jennifer L Provancher	director, officer: EVP, COO and CFO	2290 NORTH MAYFAIR ROAD, WAUWATOSA WI 53226
William A Behm	officer: Chief Credit Officer	2290 NORTH MAYFAIR ROAD, WAUWATOSA WI 53226
Christopher C Conlon	director	2290 NORTH MAYFAIR ROAD, WAUWATOSA WI 53226
Mhc Teb	10 percent owner	2290 NORTH MAYFAIR ROAD, WAUWATOSA WI 53226
Joseph J Becker	director	2290 NORTH MAYFAIR ROAD, WAUWATOSA WI 53226

TEB Bancorp (TEB Bancorp) Headlines

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