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Forvia SE (XPAR:FRVIA) Beneish M-Score : -3.00 (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is Forvia SE Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Forvia SE's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XPAR:FRVIA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3   Med: -2.81   Max: -2.37
Current: -3

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Forvia SE was -2.37. The lowest was -3.00. And the median was -2.81.


Forvia SE Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Forvia SE's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Forvia SE Beneish M-Score Chart

Forvia SE Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.53 -2.83 -2.37 -3.00

Forvia SE Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.83 - -2.37 - -3.00

Competitive Comparison of Forvia SE's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Forvia SE's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Forvia SE's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Forvia SE's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Forvia SE's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Forvia SE Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Forvia SE for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7364+0.528 * 0.9481+0.404 * 1.033+0.892 * 1.1088+0.115 * 0.9435
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9749+4.679 * -0.078474-0.327 * 0.9851
=-3.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €4,565 Mil.
Revenue was €27,248 Mil.
Gross Profit was €3,662 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €13,512 Mil.
Total Assets was €30,485 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €5,881 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,868 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,270 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €13,761 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €9,453 Mil.
Net Income was €222 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €2,615 Mil.
Total Receivables was €5,591 Mil.
Revenue was €24,574 Mil.
Gross Profit was €3,132 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €14,631 Mil.
Total Assets was €32,218 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €6,239 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,837 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,175 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €14,810 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €10,095 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4564.7 / 27247.9) / (5590.6 / 24573.7)
=0.167525 / 0.227503
=0.7364

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3131.6 / 24573.7) / (3662.4 / 27247.9)
=0.127437 / 0.13441
=0.9481

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (13511.5 + 5881) / 30485.2) / (1 - (14630.6 + 6239.4) / 32218.4)
=0.363872 / 0.352234
=1.033

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=27247.9 / 24573.7
=1.1088

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1836.8 / (1836.8 + 6239.4)) / (1867.8 / (1867.8 + 5881))
=0.227434 / 0.241044
=0.9435

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1270.3 / 27247.9) / (1175.1 / 24573.7)
=0.04662 / 0.047819
=0.9749

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9452.5 + 13760.9) / 30485.2) / ((10095.2 + 14810) / 32218.4)
=0.761465 / 0.773012
=0.9851

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(222.2 - 0 - 2614.5) / 30485.2
=-0.078474

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Forvia SE has a M-score of -3.00 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Forvia SE Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Forvia SE (XPAR:FRVIA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
23-27 avenue des Champs-Pierreux, Nanterre, FRA, 92000
Forvia operates in automotive seating, interior systems, emission control technologies, electronics, lighting, and a segment called lifecycle solutions that does automotive-related recycling. The company has a global presence, with over 300 industrial facilities and 63 R&D centers in more than 40 countries, but much of its workforce is located in high-cost countries. Forvia's five largest customers by percentage of 2022 revenue are Volkswagen at 15.4%, Stellantis at 11.7%, Ford at 7.7%, the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance at 6.2%, and Mercedes-Benz at 6.1%. Geographically, Europe accounted for 44% of 2022 revenue, followed by North America at 25%, China at 21%, and all other regions at 10%.

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