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Forvia SE (XPAR:FRVIA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €33.56 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Forvia SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-12), Forvia SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €33.56. The stock price of Forvia SE is €14.72. Therefore, Forvia SE's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Forvia SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XPAR:FRVIA' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.38   Med: 1.06   Max: 2.39
Current: 0.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Forvia SE was 2.39. The lowest was 0.38. And the median was 1.06.

XPAR:FRVIA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
84.49% of 896 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.075 vs XPAR:FRVIA: 0.44

Forvia SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Forvia SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Forvia SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Forvia SE Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.11 36.09 35.79 36.94 33.56

Forvia SE Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 35.79 - 36.94 - 33.56

Competitive Comparison of Forvia SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Forvia SE's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Forvia SE's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Forvia SE's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Forvia SE's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Forvia SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Forvia SE's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €317.61.

Forvia SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*317.61428571429+4509.4*0.8)/197.606
=33.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Forvia SE  (XPAR:FRVIA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Forvia SE's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=14.72/33.558291104021
=0.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Forvia SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Forvia SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Forvia SE (XPAR:FRVIA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
23-27 avenue des Champs-Pierreux, Nanterre, FRA, 92000
Forvia operates in automotive seating, interior systems, emission control technologies, electronics, lighting, and a segment called lifecycle solutions that does automotive-related recycling. The company has a global presence, with over 300 industrial facilities and 63 R&D centers in more than 40 countries, but much of its workforce is located in high-cost countries. Forvia's five largest customers by percentage of 2022 revenue are Volkswagen at 15.4%, Stellantis at 11.7%, Ford at 7.7%, the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance at 6.2%, and Mercedes-Benz at 6.1%. Geographically, Europe accounted for 44% of 2022 revenue, followed by North America at 25%, China at 21%, and all other regions at 10%.

Forvia SE (XPAR:FRVIA) Headlines

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