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El Pollo Loco Holdings (El Pollo Loco Holdings) Beneish M-Score : -2.77 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is El Pollo Loco Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.77 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for El Pollo Loco Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LOCO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.77   Med: -2.6   Max: -1.69
Current: -2.77

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of El Pollo Loco Holdings was -1.69. The lowest was -2.77. And the median was -2.60.


El Pollo Loco Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for El Pollo Loco Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

El Pollo Loco Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

El Pollo Loco Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.77 -2.09 -2.54 -2.67 -2.77

El Pollo Loco Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 -2.71 -2.93 -3.16 -2.77

Competitive Comparison of El Pollo Loco Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, El Pollo Loco Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


El Pollo Loco Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, El Pollo Loco Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where El Pollo Loco Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



El Pollo Loco Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of El Pollo Loco Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9518+0.528 * 0.8909+0.404 * 1.007+0.892 * 0.9972+0.115 * 0.9777
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.078+4.679 * -0.031045-0.327 * 1.0919
=-2.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $10.3 Mil.
Revenue was 112.247 + 120.399 + 121.492 + 114.526 = $468.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 22.823 + 22.883 + 25.673 + 22.316 = $93.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $25.1 Mil.
Total Assets was $592.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $253.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $15.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $42.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $72.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $253.7 Mil.
Net Income was 4.351 + 9.229 + 7.056 + 4.918 = $25.6 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -0.828 + 3.793 + -0.104 + 0.393 = $3.3 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 8.179 + 10.713 + 17.977 + 3.819 = $40.7 Mil.
Total Receivables was $10.9 Mil.
Revenue was 115.922 + 119.878 + 124.111 + 110.048 = $470.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 22.127 + 20.489 + 24.016 + 17.068 = $83.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $37.4 Mil.
Total Assets was $597.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $245.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $14.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $39.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $68.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $232.8 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10.301 / 468.664) / (10.852 / 469.959)
=0.021979 / 0.023091
=0.9518

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(83.7 / 469.959) / (93.695 / 468.664)
=0.178101 / 0.199919
=0.8909

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (25.134 + 253.562) / 592.301) / (1 - (37.449 + 245.76) / 597.218)
=0.529469 / 0.525786
=1.007

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=468.664 / 469.959
=0.9972

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(14.418 / (14.418 + 245.76)) / (15.235 / (15.235 + 253.562))
=0.055416 / 0.056678
=0.9777

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(42.025 / 468.664) / (39.093 / 469.959)
=0.08967 / 0.083184
=1.078

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((253.701 + 72.581) / 592.301) / ((232.775 + 68.513) / 597.218)
=0.550872 / 0.504486
=1.0919

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(25.554 - 3.254 - 40.688) / 592.301
=-0.031045

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

El Pollo Loco Holdings has a M-score of -2.77 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


El Pollo Loco Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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El Pollo Loco Holdings (El Pollo Loco Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3535 Harbor Boulevard, Suite 100, Costa Mesa, CA, USA, 92626
El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc operates and franchises hundreds of fast-casual chicken restaurants in the United States. Restaurant locations are typically free-standing and include drive-thrus, and menus include many low-priced options. Poultry is the company's largest food cost, accounting for roughly 38% of total food and paper cost, and the company manages that commodity price risk by using multiple suppliers and entering supply contracts of varying lengths depending on market conditions.
Executives
Sardar Biglari, 10 percent owner C/O BIGLARI HOLDINGS INC., 19100 RIDGEWOOD PKWY, SUITE 1200, SAN ANTONIO TX 78259
Biglari Holdings Inc. 10 percent owner 19100 RIDGEWOOD PKWY, SUITE 1200, SAN ANTONIO TX 78259
John M Roth director 299 PARK AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10171
Fs Capital Partners V, Llc 10 percent owner 11100 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 1900, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Biglari Capital Corp. 10 percent owner 19100 RIDGEWOOD PKWY, SUITE 1200, SAN ANTONIO TX 78259
Lion Fund Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner 19100 RIDGEWOOD PKWY, SUITE 1200, SAN ANTONIO TX 78259
Laurance Roberts officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS, INC., 3535 HARBOR BLVD., SUITE 100, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Maria Hollandsworth officer: Chief Operating Officer 3535 HARBOR BLVD, STE 100, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Fs Equity Partners V Lp 10 percent owner 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD., LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Fs Affiliates V, L.p. 10 percent owner 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 1900, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
John M. Roth director, 10 percent owner C/O EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS, INC., 3535 HARBOR BLVD., SUITE 100, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Ira Fils officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS, INC., 3535 HARBOR BLVD., SUITE 100, COSTA MESA CA 92614
Miguel Lozano officer: CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER 3535 HARBOR BLVD., # 100, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Deborah Gonzalez director 3535 HARBOR BLVD., SUITE 100, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Faginas Cody Nancy director 3535 HARBOR BLVD, SUITE 100, COSTA MESA CA 92626