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Shenzhen Expressway (HKSE:00548) Beneish M-Score : -2.56 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Shenzhen Expressway Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.56 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shenzhen Expressway's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00548' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.36   Med: -2.52   Max: 2.7
Current: -2.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Shenzhen Expressway was 2.70. The lowest was -3.36. And the median was -2.52.


Shenzhen Expressway Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shenzhen Expressway's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shenzhen Expressway Beneish M-Score Chart

Shenzhen Expressway Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 -1.90 -2.85 -2.47 -2.83

Shenzhen Expressway Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.52 -2.68 -2.71 -2.83 -2.56

Competitive Comparison of Shenzhen Expressway's Beneish M-Score

For the Infrastructure Operations subindustry, Shenzhen Expressway's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shenzhen Expressway's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Shenzhen Expressway's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shenzhen Expressway's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Shenzhen Expressway Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Shenzhen Expressway for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0246+0.528 * 0.9363+0.404 * 1.0096+0.892 * 0.9503+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7776+4.679 * -0.022026-0.327 * 0.9849
=-2.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$2,269 Mil.
Revenue was 2213.865 + 3198.227 + 2409.735 + 2429.55 = HK$10,251 Mil.
Gross Profit was 786.464 + 833.2 + 1008.228 + 974.12 = HK$3,602 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$8,950 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$73,236 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$8,157 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$111 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$21,367 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$18,262 Mil.
Net Income was 511.603 + 862.224 + 653.947 + 532.369 = HK$2,560 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 826.27 + 1205.45 + 1168.566 + 972.972 = HK$4,173 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$2,330 Mil.
Revenue was 2168.235 + 3044.457 + 2853.971 + 2721.101 = HK$10,788 Mil.
Gross Profit was 858.422 + 518.08 + 1075.901 + 1096.535 = HK$3,549 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$10,490 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$78,516 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$8,425 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$151 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$25,609 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$17,528 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2268.958 / 10251.377) / (2330.386 / 10787.764)
=0.221332 / 0.216021
=1.0246

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3548.938 / 10787.764) / (3602.012 / 10251.377)
=0.328978 / 0.351369
=0.9363

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8950.473 + 8157.227) / 73236.376) / (1 - (10490.077 + 8424.664) / 78516.445)
=0.766404 / 0.759098
=1.0096

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10251.377 / 10787.764
=0.9503

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 8424.664)) / (0 / (0 + 8157.227))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(111.243 / 10251.377) / (150.552 / 10787.764)
=0.010852 / 0.013956
=0.7776

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((18261.992 + 21366.585) / 73236.376) / ((17527.673 + 25608.96) / 78516.445)
=0.541105 / 0.549396
=0.9849

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2560.143 - 0 - 4173.258) / 73236.376
=-0.022026

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Shenzhen Expressway has a M-score of -2.59 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Shenzhen Expressway Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Shenzhen Expressway (HKSE:00548) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Hanking Center Tower, Yuehai Street, No. 9968, Floor 46, Shennan Avenue, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, CHN, 518026
Shenzhen Expressway Corp Ltd, formerly Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd constructs, operates, and maintains toll highways, roads, and urban infrastructure. The group has identified two reporting segments, namely the toll road segment and the environmental protection segment. The toll road segment takes charge of the operation and management of toll roads in Mainland China. The environmental protection segment engages in the operation and management of environmentally related infrastructure, mainly including solid waste treatment, clean energy, and other related fields. The majority of its revenue is derived from the Toll segment.

Shenzhen Expressway (HKSE:00548) Headlines

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