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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-05-15), Optex Systems Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.85. The stock price of Optex Systems Holdings is $8.6318. Therefore, Optex Systems Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.3.
The historical rank and industry rank for Optex Systems Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Optex Systems Holdings was 16.67. The lowest was 0.21. And the median was 1.11.
The historical data trend for Optex Systems Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Optex Systems Holdings Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Sep14 | Sep15 | Sep16 | Sep17 | Sep18 | Sep19 | Sep20 | Sep21 | Sep22 | Sep23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 0.84 | 1.60 | 2.21 | 2.41 | 3.26 |
Optex Systems Holdings Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mar19 | Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 3.14 | 2.89 | 2.93 | 3.26 | 3.85 |
For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Optex Systems Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Optex Systems Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Optex Systems Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Optex Systems Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1.33.
Optex Systems Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (10.195616806174 | * | 1.33296 | + | 15.377 | * | 0.8) | / | 6.722 | |
= | 3.85 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Optex Systems Holdings (NAS:OPXS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Optex Systems Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 8.6318 | / | 3.8518222817552 | |
= | 2.24 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Optex Systems Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Topline Capital Partners, Lp | 10 percent owner | 544 EUCLID STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90402 |
Topline Capital Management, Llc | other: See Explanation in Footnotes | 544 EUCLID STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90402 |
Mcbirney Collin | other: See Explanation in Footnotes | 544 EUCLID STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90402 |
Judd Dayton | 10 percent owner | 878 S. DENTON TAP RD., SUITE 220, COPPELL TX 75019 |
Dale E Lehmann | director | 3342 REILY MILLVILLE RD, HAMILTON OH 45013 |
R. Rimmy Malhotra | director | C/O COMMAND CENTER, INC., 3609 S WADSWORTH BLVD., SUITE 250, LAKEWOOD CO 80235 |
Lawrence F Hagenbuch | director | 600 CORPORATION DRIVE, PENDLETON IN 46064 |
Karen Lea Hawkins | officer: VP Finance and Controller | 1420 PRESIDENTIAL DRIVE, RICHARDSON TX 75081 |
Ephraim G Fields | 10 percent owner | 265 EAST 66TH STREET, #41A, NEW YORK NY 10065 |
Danny Robert Schoening | 10 percent owner, officer: COO | 1420 PRESIDENTIAL DRIVE, RICHARDSON TX 75081 |
Longview Fund Lp | 10 percent owner | VIKING ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC, 66 BOVET ROAD, SUITE 320, SAN MATEO, CA 94402 |
Merrick D Okamoto | director | 1180 NORTH TOWN CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 100,, LAS VEGAS NV 89144 |
Stanley A Hirschman | director, 10 percent owner, officer: Pres., Secretary and Treasurer | |
Ronald F Richards | director |
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