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First Keystone (First Keystone) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $31.27 (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is First Keystone Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-13), First Keystone's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $31.27. The stock price of First Keystone is $13.84. Therefore, First Keystone's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for First Keystone's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FKYS' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.44   Med: 0.68   Max: 0.93
Current: 0.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of First Keystone was 0.93. The lowest was 0.44. And the median was 0.68.

FKYS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
51.92% of 1223 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.45 vs FKYS: 0.44

First Keystone Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Keystone's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Keystone Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

First Keystone Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 35.14 35.00 37.16 34.65 31.27

First Keystone Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 34.65 32.80 31.73 30.37 31.27

Competitive Comparison of First Keystone's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First Keystone's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Keystone's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First Keystone's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Keystone's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



First Keystone Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get First Keystone's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $9.79.

First Keystone's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*9.78576+121.615*0.8)/6.090
=31.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


First Keystone  (OTCPK:FKYS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

First Keystone's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=13.84/31.273542829841
=0.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


First Keystone Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of First Keystone's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


First Keystone (First Keystone) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
111 West Front Street, Berwick, PA, USA, 18603
First Keystone Corp is a bank holding company based in the United States. The corporation operates through its wholly-owned subsidiary, which operates as an independent community financial services provider, and offers traditional banking and related financial services to individual, business, government, and public and institutional customers. Its banking activities include accepting time, demand, and savings deposits and making secured and unsecured commercial, real estate, and consumer loans.
Executives
Whitney B Holloway director 1034 THIRD ST, NESCOPECK PA 18635
Donald Matthew Bower director 1755 SALEM BOULEVARD, BERWICK PA 18603
Michael L Jezewski director 662 E. MAIN STREET, NANTICOKE PA 18634
Jonathan Robert Littlewood officer: Senior Vice President 98 W. 10TH STREET, BLOOMSBURG PA 17815
Nancy Jean Marr director 2083 CONTINENTAL BLVD, TURBOTVILLE PA 17772
Robert Alvin Bull director 501 E 11TH ST, BERWICK PA 18603
John E Arndt director 5 SONNY ROAD, BERWICK PA 18603
William Elmer Rinehart director 860 POLK VALLEY ROAD, STROUDSBURG PA 18360
Conahan Joseph B Jr director R.D. 5 5121B, HICKORY CIRCLE, STROUDSBURG PA 18360
Elaine A Woodland officer: Senior Vice President RR 7 BOX 7353, SAYLORSBURG PA 18353
Mark James Mcdonald officer: SVP 3004 RED LANE, DANVILLE PA 17821
John G Gerlach director 32 WYNDHAM HILLS, CRESCO PA 18326
Don E Bower director 1371 STATE RT 93, BERWICK PA 18603
Jeffrey Thomas Wozniak officer: SVP 26 GRECO DRIVE, SUGARLOAF PA 18249
Jacob Richard Price officer: SVP 929 MCGRANN BLVD, LANCASTER PA 17601

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