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Green Giant (Green Giant) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-1.47 (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Green Giant Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-06-07), Green Giant's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-1.47.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Green Giant's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Green Giant is N/A.

The industry rank for Green Giant's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

GGEI's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Real Estate industry.
Industry Median: 0.92
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Green Giant Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Green Giant's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Green Giant Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Green Giant Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Green Giant Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of Green Giant's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Green Giant's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Green Giant's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Green Giant's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Green Giant's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Green Giant Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.42%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Green Giant's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.127.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Green Giant's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.127*11.5406
=-1.47

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-1.47-0.0224)/-1.47
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Green Giant  (OTCPK:GGEI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Green Giant Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Green Giant (Green Giant) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6 Xinghan Road, 19th Floor, Shaanxi Province, Hanzhong, CHN, 723000
Green Giant Inc is engaged in real estate development buisness and green energy business. The Company engages in real estate development through the VIE, Guangsha, in mainland China, and is transitioning itself from its real estate development business to a new energy corporation. It is engaged in the construction and sale of residential apartments, car parks, and commercial properties. The company's real-estate properties include multi-layer apartment buildings, sub-high-rise apartment buildings, and high-rise apartment buildings. The project portfolios of the company are Yangzhou Pearl Garden Phase I and II, Nanyuan II Project, Mingzhu Garden, Oriental Pearl Garden, and Yangzhou Palace. Majority of the Company's revenue is derived from real estate sales.
Executives
Goldenmountain Solution Inc. 10 percent owner 1100 ABERNATHY RD NE STE 325, ATLANTA GA 30328
Gordon H Silver director C/O PUTNAM LLC, ONE POST OFFICE SQ, BOSTON MA 02109
H. David Sherman director 38 HOMEWOOD ROAD, NEWTON MA 02468
Shenghuei Luo director 6 XINGHAN ROAD 19TH FL, HANZHONG CITY, SHAANXI PROVINCE F4 72300
Yuankai Wen director ROOM 907, TOWER A, HONGYUAN MANSION, NO. 4, JIU XIAN QIAO RD., BEIJING F4 100016
Xiaojun Zhu director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO 6 XINGHAN ROAD, 19TH FLOOR, HANZHONG CITY, SHAANXI PROVINCE F4 723000
Carl M Berg other: Former Officer, Director, 10% 1059 EAST SKYLER DR, DRAPER UT 84020
John Leo director, officer: Secretary 80 WALL STREET, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Zhengquan Wang director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO, CFO 101 XINANYAO STREET, JINZHOU DISTRICT, DALIAN LIAONING PROV F4 116100
Mark Stewart director PO BOX 51150, IRVINE CA 92619
Kevin J Gadawski director 19 TERRAZA DEL MAR, DANA POINT CA 92629
Brian A Lebrecht 10 percent owner 610 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 800, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Gerald A Deciccio director 92 CORPORATE PARK, C-141, IRVINE CA 92606