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Green Giant (Green Giant) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-7.28 (As of Dec23)


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What is Green Giant Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Green Giant's earnings power value is $-7.28. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Green Giant Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Green Giant's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Green Giant Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Green Giant Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.04 -3.74 -3.67 -13.84 -

Green Giant Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -11.67 -7.71 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Green Giant's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Green Giant's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Green Giant's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Green Giant's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Green Giant's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Green Giant Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Green Giant's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 22.81
DDA 0.05
Operating Margin % -389.91
SGA * 25% 2.67
Tax Rate % 15.96
Maintenance Capex 0.00
Cash and Cash Equivalents 4.76
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 108.57
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 124.92

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -389.91%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $22.81 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -389.91%, Average Adjusted SGA = 2.67,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 22.81 * -389.91% +2.67 = $-86.27505766 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 15.96%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-86.27505766 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -86.27505766 * ( 1 - 15.96% ) = $-72.508146709194 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.05 * 0.5 * 15.96% = $0.003638196 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -72.508146709194 + 0.003638196 = $-72.504508513194 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Green Giant's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.00 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Green Giant's current cash and cash equivalent = $4.76 Mil.
Green Giant's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 108.57 + 0.00 = $108.574 Mil.
Green Giant's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 124.92 Mil.

Green Giant's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -72.504508513194 - 0.00)/ 9%+4.76-108.574 )/124.92
=-7.28

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -7.2802895557542-0.02319 )/-7.2802895557542
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Green Giant  (OTCPK:GGEI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Green Giant Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Green Giant (Green Giant) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6 Xinghan Road, 19th Floor, Shaanxi Province, Hanzhong, CHN, 723000
Green Giant Inc is engaged in real estate development buisness and green energy business. The Company engages in real estate development through the VIE, Guangsha, in mainland China, and is transitioning itself from its real estate development business to a new energy corporation. It is engaged in the construction and sale of residential apartments, car parks, and commercial properties. The company's real-estate properties include multi-layer apartment buildings, sub-high-rise apartment buildings, and high-rise apartment buildings. The project portfolios of the company are Yangzhou Pearl Garden Phase I and II, Nanyuan II Project, Mingzhu Garden, Oriental Pearl Garden, and Yangzhou Palace. Majority of the Company's revenue is derived from real estate sales.
Executives
Goldenmountain Solution Inc. 10 percent owner 1100 ABERNATHY RD NE STE 325, ATLANTA GA 30328
Gordon H Silver director C/O PUTNAM LLC, ONE POST OFFICE SQ, BOSTON MA 02109
H. David Sherman director 38 HOMEWOOD ROAD, NEWTON MA 02468
Shenghuei Luo director 6 XINGHAN ROAD 19TH FL, HANZHONG CITY, SHAANXI PROVINCE F4 72300
Yuankai Wen director ROOM 907, TOWER A, HONGYUAN MANSION, NO. 4, JIU XIAN QIAO RD., BEIJING F4 100016
Xiaojun Zhu director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO 6 XINGHAN ROAD, 19TH FLOOR, HANZHONG CITY, SHAANXI PROVINCE F4 723000
Carl M Berg other: Former Officer, Director, 10% 1059 EAST SKYLER DR, DRAPER UT 84020
John Leo director, officer: Secretary 80 WALL STREET, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Zhengquan Wang director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO, CFO 101 XINANYAO STREET, JINZHOU DISTRICT, DALIAN LIAONING PROV F4 116100
Mark Stewart director PO BOX 51150, IRVINE CA 92619
Kevin J Gadawski director 19 TERRAZA DEL MAR, DANA POINT CA 92629
Brian A Lebrecht 10 percent owner 610 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 800, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Gerald A Deciccio director 92 CORPORATE PARK, C-141, IRVINE CA 92606