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Daybreak Oil & Gas (Daybreak Oil & Gas) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $-0.05 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Daybreak Oil & Gas Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-26), Daybreak Oil & Gas's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-0.05.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Daybreak Oil & Gas's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Daybreak Oil & Gas is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Daybreak Oil & Gas's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

DBRM's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 0.75
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Daybreak Oil & Gas Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Daybreak Oil & Gas's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Daybreak Oil & Gas Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Daybreak Oil & Gas Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
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Daybreak Oil & Gas Quarterly Data
May18 Aug18 Nov18 Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Daybreak Oil & Gas's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Daybreak Oil & Gas's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Daybreak Oil & Gas's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Daybreak Oil & Gas's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Daybreak Oil & Gas's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Daybreak Oil & Gas Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.47%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Daybreak Oil & Gas's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-0.004.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Daybreak Oil & Gas's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.004*11.5406
=-0.05

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-0.05-0.0003)/-0.05
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Daybreak Oil & Gas  (OTCPK:DBRM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Daybreak Oil & Gas Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Daybreak Oil & Gas's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Daybreak Oil & Gas (Daybreak Oil & Gas) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Daybreak Oil & Gas Inc (OTCPK:DBRM) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1101 North Argonne Road, Suite A 211, Spokane Valley, WA, USA, 99212
Daybreak Oil & Gas Inc is a United States-based independent oil and natural gas company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas. It is developing its shallow oil reserves, where it owns a 3-D seismic survey under lease in Kern County, California, and Michigan. The company's operational projects include the East Slopes Project and the Michigan Basin Project.
Executives
Gaelic Resources Ltd 10 percent owner 14 ALBERT STREET, DOUGLAS Y8 IM1 2QA
Darren Williams director 9200 OAKDALE AVENUE, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 91311
James F Westmoreland director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CEO 1101 N. ARGONNE ROAD, SUITE A 211, SPOKANE VALLEY WA 99212
James F. Meara director C/O 601 W. MAIN AVENUE, SUITE 1012, SPOKANE WA 99201
Timothy R Lindsey director 1101 N. ARGONNE ROAD, SUITE A211, SPOKANE VALLEY WA 99212
Maximilian Investors Llc 10 percent owner 152 WEST 57TH STREET, 54TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Wayne G Dotson director 601 W. MAIN AVE., SUITE 1012, SPOKANE WA 99201
Karol Lynn Adams officer: Corporate Secretary DAYBREAK OIL AND GAS, INC., 601 WEST MAIN AVE., SUITE 1012, SPOKANE WA 99201
Anna Moe other: Spouse of director 8305 NORTH COLTON PLACE, SPOKANE WA 99208
Keith Hooper 10 percent owner 1529 WEST ADAMS STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Benjamin Wade Anderson officer: Chief Operating Officer 1023 E 760 S, OREM UT 84097
Eric Moe officer: Chief Executive Officer 8305 NORTH COLTON PLACE, SPOKANE WA 99208
Robert N Martin director, officer: President 621 B 37 STREET SW, CALGARY A0 T3C 1R8
Jeffrey Robert Dworkin director, officer: Secretary 320 1001 13 AVENUE SW, CALGARY A0 T2R 0L5
Curtis Michael Charles Peter director 161 DES CEDRES, ST. EUSTACHE A8 J6R 4V7

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