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Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ) E10 : C$3.82 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Canadian Natural Resources E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Canadian Natural Resources's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was C$0.910. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is C$3.82 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Canadian Natural Resources's average E10 Growth Rate was 12.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 27.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 16.90% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 3.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Canadian Natural Resources was 53.80% per year. The lowest was -9.30% per year. And the median was 11.60% per year.

As of today (2024-05-13), Canadian Natural Resources's current stock price is C$104.45. Canadian Natural Resources's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was C$3.82. Canadian Natural Resources's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 27.34.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Canadian Natural Resources was 34.21. The lowest was 5.90. And the median was 19.47.


Canadian Natural Resources E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Canadian Natural Resources's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Canadian Natural Resources E10 Chart

Canadian Natural Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.06 1.86 2.32 3.20 3.81

Canadian Natural Resources Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.39 3.50 3.61 3.81 3.82

Competitive Comparison of Canadian Natural Resources's E10

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Canadian Natural Resources's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Canadian Natural Resources's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Canadian Natural Resources's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canadian Natural Resources's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Canadian Natural Resources E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Canadian Natural Resources's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.91/125.4675*125.4675
=0.910

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 125.4675.

Canadian Natural Resources Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201406 0.970 99.473 1.223
201409 0.940 99.394 1.187
201412 1.090 98.367 1.390
201503 -0.230 99.789 -0.289
201506 -0.370 100.500 -0.462
201509 -0.100 100.421 -0.125
201512 0.120 99.947 0.151
201603 -0.100 101.054 -0.124
201606 -0.310 102.002 -0.381
201609 -0.290 101.765 -0.358
201612 0.510 101.449 0.631
201703 0.220 102.634 0.269
201706 0.930 103.029 1.133
201709 0.560 103.345 0.680
201712 0.320 103.345 0.389
201803 0.470 105.004 0.562
201806 0.800 105.557 0.951
201809 1.470 105.636 1.746
201812 -0.640 105.399 -0.762
201903 0.800 106.979 0.938
201906 2.360 107.690 2.750
201909 0.870 107.611 1.014
201912 0.500 107.769 0.582
202003 -1.080 107.927 -1.256
202006 -0.260 108.401 -0.301
202009 0.350 108.164 0.406
202012 0.630 108.559 0.728
202103 1.160 110.298 1.320
202106 1.300 111.720 1.460
202109 1.860 112.905 2.067
202112 2.140 113.774 2.360
202203 2.630 117.646 2.805
202206 3.000 120.806 3.116
202209 2.490 120.648 2.589
202212 1.360 120.964 1.411
202303 1.620 122.702 1.657
202306 1.320 124.203 1.333
202309 2.130 125.230 2.134
202312 2.410 125.468 2.410
202403 0.910 125.468 0.910

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Canadian Natural Resources  (TSX:CNQ) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Canadian Natural Resources's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=104.45/3.82
=27.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Canadian Natural Resources was 34.21. The lowest was 5.90. And the median was 19.47.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Canadian Natural Resources E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Canadian Natural Resources's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
855 - 2nd Street South West, Suite 2100, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 4J8
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd is an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production company. The Company's exploration and production operations are focused in North America, largely in Western Canada; the United Kingdom (UK) portion of the North Sea, and Cote d'Ivoire and South Africa in Offshore Africa. The Company's exploration and production activities are conducted in three geographic segments: North America, the North Sea, and Offshore Africa. These activities include the exploration, development, production, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The company has two divisions; Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading Midstream and Refining. It derives a majority of its revenue from North America.
Executives
Devin Craig Lowe Senior Officer
Warren Paul Raczynski Senior Officer
Timothy Shawn Mckay Senior Officer