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Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 23.68 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Canadian Natural Resources Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-14), Canadian Natural Resources's current share price is C$104.45. Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was C$4.41. Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 23.68.

The historical rank and industry rank for Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:CNQ' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 11.8   Med: 32.32   Max: 873.2
Current: 23.68

During the past years, Canadian Natural Resources's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 873.20. The lowest was 11.80. And the median was 32.32.

TSX:CNQ's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
68.09% of 398 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 14.35 vs TSX:CNQ: 23.68

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Canadian Natural Resources's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was C$1.689. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$4.41 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Canadian Natural Resources Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Canadian Natural Resources Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Canadian Natural Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 40.91 27.46 26.53 22.24 20.73

Canadian Natural Resources Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.40 20.43 22.93 20.73 23.43

Competitive Comparison of Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Canadian Natural Resources Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=104.45/4.41
=23.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Canadian Natural Resources's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=1.689/125.4675*125.4675
=1.689

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 125.4675.

Canadian Natural Resources Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -2.650 99.473 -3.342
201409 0.216 99.394 0.273
201412 0.182 98.367 0.232
201503 -0.013 99.789 -0.016
201506 0.040 100.500 0.050
201509 0.396 100.421 0.495
201512 0.425 99.947 0.534
201603 -0.352 101.054 -0.437
201606 -0.369 102.002 -0.454
201609 -0.149 101.765 -0.184
201612 0.545 101.449 0.674
201703 0.772 102.634 0.944
201706 0.731 103.029 0.890
201709 0.403 103.345 0.489
201712 0.291 103.345 0.353
201803 1.182 105.004 1.412
201806 1.371 105.557 1.630
201809 1.817 105.636 2.158
201812 0.256 105.399 0.305
201903 0.106 106.979 0.124
201906 1.667 107.690 1.942
201909 1.363 107.611 1.589
201912 1.249 107.769 1.454
202003 0.825 107.927 0.959
202006 -0.620 108.401 -0.718
202009 1.148 108.164 1.332
202012 0.462 108.559 0.534
202103 1.512 110.298 1.720
202106 1.425 111.720 1.600
202109 2.813 112.905 3.126
202112 2.665 113.774 2.939
202203 1.241 117.646 1.324
202206 3.871 120.806 4.020
202209 4.386 120.648 4.561
202212 2.959 120.964 3.069
202303 0.059 122.702 0.060
202306 1.064 124.203 1.075
202309 2.168 125.230 2.172
202312 3.523 125.468 3.523
202403 1.689 125.468 1.689

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Canadian Natural Resources  (TSX:CNQ) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Canadian Natural Resources Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
855 - 2nd Street South West, Suite 2100, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 4J8
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd is an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production company. The Company's exploration and production operations are focused in North America, largely in Western Canada; the United Kingdom (UK) portion of the North Sea, and Cote d'Ivoire and South Africa in Offshore Africa. The Company's exploration and production activities are conducted in three geographic segments: North America, the North Sea, and Offshore Africa. These activities include the exploration, development, production, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The company has two divisions; Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading Midstream and Refining. It derives a majority of its revenue from North America.
Executives
Devin Craig Lowe Senior Officer
Warren Paul Raczynski Senior Officer
Timothy Shawn Mckay Senior Officer