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Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : C$4.41 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Canadian Natural Resources Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Canadian Natural Resources's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was C$1.689. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$4.41 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Canadian Natural Resources's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 26.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 55.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 40.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Canadian Natural Resources was 174.10% per year. The lowest was -44.20% per year. And the median was 20.85% per year.

As of today (2024-05-13), Canadian Natural Resources's current stock price is C$104.59. Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was C$4.41. Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 23.72.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Canadian Natural Resources was 873.20. The lowest was 11.80. And the median was 32.34.


Canadian Natural Resources Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Canadian Natural Resources Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Canadian Natural Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.03 1.11 2.01 3.38 4.19

Canadian Natural Resources Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.49 3.65 3.83 4.19 4.41

Competitive Comparison of Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Canadian Natural Resources Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Canadian Natural Resources's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=1.689/125.4675*125.4675
=1.689

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 125.4675.

Canadian Natural Resources Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -2.650 99.473 -3.342
201409 0.216 99.394 0.273
201412 0.182 98.367 0.232
201503 -0.013 99.789 -0.016
201506 0.040 100.500 0.050
201509 0.396 100.421 0.495
201512 0.425 99.947 0.534
201603 -0.352 101.054 -0.437
201606 -0.369 102.002 -0.454
201609 -0.149 101.765 -0.184
201612 0.545 101.449 0.674
201703 0.772 102.634 0.944
201706 0.731 103.029 0.890
201709 0.403 103.345 0.489
201712 0.291 103.345 0.353
201803 1.182 105.004 1.412
201806 1.371 105.557 1.630
201809 1.817 105.636 2.158
201812 0.256 105.399 0.305
201903 0.106 106.979 0.124
201906 1.667 107.690 1.942
201909 1.363 107.611 1.589
201912 1.249 107.769 1.454
202003 0.825 107.927 0.959
202006 -0.620 108.401 -0.718
202009 1.148 108.164 1.332
202012 0.462 108.559 0.534
202103 1.512 110.298 1.720
202106 1.425 111.720 1.600
202109 2.813 112.905 3.126
202112 2.665 113.774 2.939
202203 1.241 117.646 1.324
202206 3.871 120.806 4.020
202209 4.386 120.648 4.561
202212 2.959 120.964 3.069
202303 0.059 122.702 0.060
202306 1.064 124.203 1.075
202309 2.168 125.230 2.172
202312 3.523 125.468 3.523
202403 1.689 125.468 1.689

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Canadian Natural Resources  (TSX:CNQ) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=104.59/4.41
=23.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Canadian Natural Resources was 873.20. The lowest was 11.80. And the median was 32.34.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Canadian Natural Resources Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Canadian Natural Resources's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
855 - 2nd Street South West, Suite 2100, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 4J8
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd is an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production company. The Company's exploration and production operations are focused in North America, largely in Western Canada; the United Kingdom (UK) portion of the North Sea, and Cote d'Ivoire and South Africa in Offshore Africa. The Company's exploration and production activities are conducted in three geographic segments: North America, the North Sea, and Offshore Africa. These activities include the exploration, development, production, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The company has two divisions; Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading Midstream and Refining. It derives a majority of its revenue from North America.
Executives
Devin Craig Lowe Senior Officer
Warren Paul Raczynski Senior Officer
Timothy Shawn Mckay Senior Officer

Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ) Headlines

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