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Yuma Energy (Yuma Energy) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 09, 2024)


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What is Yuma Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Yuma Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Yuma Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Yuma Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Yuma Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Yuma Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Yuma Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Yuma Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Yuma Energy  (OTCPK:YUMAQ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Yuma Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Yuma Energy (Yuma Energy) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Yuma Energy Inc (OTCPK:YUMAQ) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1177 West Loop South, Suite 1825, Houston, TX, USA, 77027
Yuma Energy Inc is active in the oil and gas domain. It is an oil and gas company focused on the acquisition, development, and exploration of conventional and unconventional oil and natural gas resources in the United States Gulf Coast and California. Its operations are focused on onshore assets located in central and southern Louisiana, where it is targeting the Austin Chalk, Tuscaloosa, Wilcox, Frio, Marg Tex and Hackberry formations. In addition, it has a non-operated position in the Bakken Shale in North Dakota and operated positions in Kern and Santa Barbara Counties in California. It also holds operated and non-operated properties in southeast Texas containing both conventional and unconventional properties located in Jefferson and Madison counties.
Executives
John Christopher Teets director C/O RED MOUNTAIN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC., 10100 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 925, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Anthony Charles Schnur officer: Chief Restructuring Officer 9 SILVERSTRAND PLACE, THE WOODLANDS TX 77301
James J Jacobs officer: Chief Financial Officer 801 TRAVIS, SUITE 2020, HOUSTON TX 77002
Paul D. Mckinney officer: President and COO 1177 WEST LOOP SOUTH, SUITE 1825, HOUSTON TX 77027
Sam L. Banks director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1177 WEST LOOP SOUTH, SUITE 1825, HOUSTON TX 77027
Frank Alan Lodzinski director 1400 WOODLOCH FOREST DRIVE, SUITE 300, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
James W Christmas director 1000 LOUISIANA, SUITE 5600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Bain Capital Credit Member, Llc 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Sankaty Davis, Llc 10 percent owner C/O BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT, LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Neeraj Mital director 1177 WEST LOOP SOUTH, SUITE 1825, HOUSTON TX 77027
Richard K Stoneburner director
Willem Mesdag 10 percent owner C/O RED MOUNTAIN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC., 10100 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 925, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Red Mountain Capital Partners Llc 10 percent owner 1999 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 1100, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Rmcp Gp Llc 10 percent owner 1999 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 1100, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Red Mountain Capital Management Inc 10 percent owner 10100 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 925, LOS ANGELES CA 90067

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