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Triumph Financial (Triumph Financial) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Triumph Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Triumph Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Triumph Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Triumph Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Triumph Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Triumph Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Triumph Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Triumph Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.45

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Triumph Financial  (NAS:TFIN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Triumph Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Triumph Financial (Triumph Financial) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
12700 Park Central Drive, Suite 1700, Dallas, TX, USA, 75251
Triumph Financial Inc is a is a financial holding company. The company has four reportable segments namely Banking, Factoring, Payments, and Corporate. The Banking segment includes the operations of TBK Bank. The Factoring segment includes the operations of Triumph Financial Services with revenue derived from factoring services, The Payments segment includes the operations of TBK Bank's TriumphPay division which provides a presentment, audit, and payment solution to Shipper, Broker, and Factor clients in the trucking industry and The corporate segment includes holding company financing and investment activities and management and administrative expenses to support the overall operations of the Company.
Executives
Carlos M Sepulveda director 3900 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 500, PLANO TX 75093
Aaron P Graft director, officer: President & CEO 12700 PARK CENTRAL DRIVE SUITE 1700, DALLAS TX 75251
Todd Ritterbusch officer: EVP & CLO - TBK Bank, SSB 12700 PARK CENTRAL DRIVE, SUITE 1700, DALLAS TX 75251
Adam D Nelson officer: SVP and General Counsel 12700 PARK CENTRAL DRIVE SUITE 1700, DALLAS TX 75251
Edward Joseph Schreyer officer: EVP, Chief Operating Officer 12700 PARK CENTRAL DRIVE, SUITE 1700, DALLAS TX 75251
Melissa Forman-barenblit officer: EVP, Pres-TriumphPay-TBK Bank 12700 PARK CENTRAL DRIVE, SUITE 1700, DALLAS TX 75251
Davis R Deadman director 12700 PARK CENTRAL DRIVE, SUITE 1700, DALLAS TX 75251
Harrison B. Barnes director 12700 PARK CENTRAL DRIVE, SUITE 1700, DALLAS TX 75251
Debra A Bradford director
Michael P Rafferty director 12700 PARK CENTRAL DRIVE SUITE 1700, DALLAS TX 75251
Laura Easley director 12700 PARK CENTRAL CENTRAL DRIVE, SUITE 1700, DALLAS TX 75251
C Todd Sparks director 12700 PARK CENTRAL DRIVE SUITE 1700, DALLAS TX 75251
Charles A Anderson director 12700 PARK CENTRAL DRIVE, SUITE 1700, DALLAS TX 75251
Geoffrey Paul Brenner officer: CEO - Triumph Business Capital 12700 PARK CENTRAL DRIVE, SUITE 1700, DALLAS TX 75251
Richard Loren Davis director 12700 PARK CENTRAL DRIVE, SUITE 1700, DALLAS TX 75251