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Kezar Life Sciences (Kezar Life Sciences) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.14% (As of May. 20, 2024)


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What is Kezar Life Sciences Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kezar Life Sciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.14%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Kezar Life Sciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Kezar Life Sciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kezar Life Sciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Kezar Life Sciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kezar Life Sciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Kezar Life Sciences Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.56

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.14%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Kezar Life Sciences  (NAS:KZR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kezar Life Sciences Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Kezar Life Sciences (Kezar Life Sciences) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4000 Shoreline Court, Suite 300, South San Francisco, CA, USA, 94080
Kezar Life Sciences Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company. It is engaged in discovering and developing novel small molecule therapeutics to treat unmet needs in autoimmunity and cancer. The pipeline consist of product candidates such as KZR-616, and the protein secretion program.
Executives
Morningside Venture Investments Ltd 10 percent owner MCCARTHY LEGAL SERVICES, 1188 CENTRE STREET, NEWTON CENTRE MA 02459
Nicholas Michael Mordwinkin officer: Chief Business Officer C/O KEZAR LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 4000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Franklin M Berger director 1000 MARINA BLVD, STE 200, BRISBANE CA 94005
Wallace Courtney director C/O BEAM THERAPEUTICS INC., 26 LANDSDOWNE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Micki Klearman director C/O KEZAR LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 4000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Equal Talent Investments Ltd 10 percent owner THC MANAGEMENT SERVICES S.A.M. 2ND FLOOR, LE PRINCE DE GALLES 3-5 AVE DE CITRONNIE, MONTE CARLO O9 98000
Noreen Henig officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O KEZAR LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 4000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
John Franklin Fowler director, officer: CEO C/O KEZAR LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 4000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Christopher J. Kirk director, officer: President and CSO C/O KEZAR LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 4000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Marc Belsky officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O KEZAR LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 4000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Vassiliki Economides officer: SVP, Strategy & External Aff. C/O KEZAR LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 4000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Elizabeth Garner director 101 POOR FARM ROAD 3RD FLOOR, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Cormorant Asset Management, Lp 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, 52ND FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Cormorant Global Healthcare Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 100 HIGH STREET, SUITE 1105, BOSTON DC 02110
Bay City Capital Llc 10 percent owner 750 BATTERY STREET STE 400, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111

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