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Kezar Life Sciences (Kezar Life Sciences) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $2.67 (As of Mar24)


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What is Kezar Life Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Kezar Life Sciences's earnings power value is $2.67. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 71.22

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Kezar Life Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kezar Life Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kezar Life Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Kezar Life Sciences Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - 3.33 3.39 2.94

Kezar Life Sciences Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.13 2.81 3.13 2.94 2.67

Competitive Comparison of Kezar Life Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Kezar Life Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kezar Life Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Kezar Life Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kezar Life Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Kezar Life Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Kezar Life Sciences's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1.40
DDA 1.28
Operating Margin % -18.23
SGA * 25% 4.43
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 1.19
Cash and Cash Equivalents 179.80
Short-Term Debt 4.44
Long-Term Debt 13.85
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 72.80

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -18.23%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1.40 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -18.23%, Average Adjusted SGA = 4.43,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1.40 * -18.23% +4.43 = $4.170831 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $4.170831 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 4.170831 * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $4.170831 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.28 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 4.170831 + 0 = $4.170831 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Kezar Life Sciences's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1.19 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Kezar Life Sciences's current cash and cash equivalent = $179.80 Mil.
Kezar Life Sciences's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 13.85 + 4.44 = $18.286 Mil.
Kezar Life Sciences's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 72.80 Mil.

Kezar Life Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 4.170831 - 1.19)/ 9%+179.80-18.286 )/72.80
=2.67

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 2.6739638278388-0.7695 )/2.6739638278388
= 71.22%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Kezar Life Sciences  (NAS:KZR) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Kezar Life Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Kezar Life Sciences (Kezar Life Sciences) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4000 Shoreline Court, Suite 300, South San Francisco, CA, USA, 94080
Kezar Life Sciences Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company. It is engaged in discovering and developing novel small molecule therapeutics to treat unmet needs in autoimmunity and cancer. The pipeline consist of product candidates such as KZR-616, and the protein secretion program.
Executives
Morningside Venture Investments Ltd 10 percent owner MCCARTHY LEGAL SERVICES, 1188 CENTRE STREET, NEWTON CENTRE MA 02459
Nicholas Michael Mordwinkin officer: Chief Business Officer C/O KEZAR LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 4000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Franklin M Berger director 1000 MARINA BLVD, STE 200, BRISBANE CA 94005
Wallace Courtney director C/O BEAM THERAPEUTICS INC., 26 LANDSDOWNE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Micki Klearman director C/O KEZAR LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 4000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Equal Talent Investments Ltd 10 percent owner THC MANAGEMENT SERVICES S.A.M. 2ND FLOOR, LE PRINCE DE GALLES 3-5 AVE DE CITRONNIE, MONTE CARLO O9 98000
Noreen Henig officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O KEZAR LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 4000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
John Franklin Fowler director, officer: CEO C/O KEZAR LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 4000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Christopher J. Kirk director, officer: President and CSO C/O KEZAR LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 4000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Marc Belsky officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O KEZAR LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 4000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Vassiliki Economides officer: SVP, Strategy & External Aff. C/O KEZAR LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 4000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Elizabeth Garner director 101 POOR FARM ROAD 3RD FLOOR, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Cormorant Asset Management, Lp 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, 52ND FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Cormorant Global Healthcare Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 100 HIGH STREET, SUITE 1105, BOSTON DC 02110
Bay City Capital Llc 10 percent owner 750 BATTERY STREET STE 400, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111