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First Hawaiian (First Hawaiian) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.08% (As of May. 29, 2024)


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What is First Hawaiian Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, First Hawaiian's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of First Hawaiian's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First Hawaiian's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Hawaiian's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First Hawaiian's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Hawaiian's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



First Hawaiian Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.19

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.08%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


First Hawaiian  (NAS:FHB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


First Hawaiian Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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First Hawaiian (First Hawaiian) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
999 Bishop Street, 29th Floor, Honolulu, HI, USA, 96813
First Hawaiian Inc is a bank holding company. It provides a diversified range of banking services to consumer and commercial customers, including deposit products, lending services, and wealth management and trust services. The company offers a variety of deposit products to its customers, including checking and savings accounts and other types of deposit accounts. It provides commercial and industrial lending, including auto dealer flooring, commercial real estate and construction lending. It also offers comprehensive consumer lending services focused on residential real estate lending, indirect auto financing and other consumer loans. Its segments are Retail Banking, Commercial Banking and Treasury and Other of which key revenue is derived from Retail Banking.
Executives
Christopher L Dods officer: Vice Ch & Chief Operating Ofcr 352 WAILUPE CIRCLE, HONOLULU HI 96821
Darlene N. Blakeney officer: EVP & CHIEF LENDING OFFICER 44-656 B KANEOHE BAY DRIVE, KANEOHE HI 96744
Lea M. Nakamura officer: EVP & CHIEF RISK OFFICER 99-667 POHUE STREET, AIEA HI 96701
Robert S Harrison director, officer: Chairman of the Board and CEO 999 BISHOP STREET, HONOLULU HI 96813
James M Moses officer: VICE CH & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFCR 999 BISHOP STREET, HONOLULU HI 96813
Mark M Mugiishi director 1177 QUEEN STREET PH2, HONOLULU HI 96814
Michael K Fujimoto director 16-166 MELEKAHIWA STREET, KEAAU HI 96749-8016
Ravi Mallela officer: Exec VP, CFO & Treasurer C/O NMI HOLDINGS, INC. (NATIONAL MI), 2100 POWELL ST., 12TH FLOOR, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Jim Moffatt director 1423 GARFIELD AVE., SOUTH PASADENA CA 91030
Kelly Ann Thompson director 921 LINCOLN PL, PACIFICA CA 94044
Neill Char officer: Executive VP 266 PUIWA ROAD, HONOLULU HI 96817
Vanessa L Washington director CATELLUS DEVELOPEMENT CORP, 201 MISSION STREET 2ND FL, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105-1832
Mitchell Nishimoto officer: Exec VP & Manager 2121 KEEAUMOKU STREET, HONOLULU HI 96822
Paribas Bnp director, 10 percent owner 3 RUE D'ANTIN, PARIS I0 75002
Craig Scott Wo director 702 SOUTH BERETANIA STREET, HONOLULU HI 96813