GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Equity Bancshares Inc (NYSE:EQBK) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Equity Bancshares (Equity Bancshares) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2015. Start your Free Trial

What is Equity Bancshares Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Equity Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Equity Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Equity Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Equity Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Equity Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Equity Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Equity Bancshares Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.28

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Equity Bancshares  (NYSE:EQBK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Equity Bancshares Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Equity Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Equity Bancshares (Equity Bancshares) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7701 East Kellogg Drive, Suite 300, Wichita, KS, USA, 67207
Equity Bancshares Inc is a bank holding company. The company's operations involve the delivery of loan and deposit products to customers. The majority of the Company's revenues come from interest income on financial instruments, including loans, leases, securities and derivatives. The company also earns revenue from Non-interest income which includes Service charges and fees, Debit card income, Investment Referral Income, Trust Income and Insurance Sales Commissions.
Executives
James S Loving director C/O CHS INC., 5500 CENEX DRIVE, INVER GROVE HEIGHTS MN 55077
Krzysztof Slupkowski officer: Chief Credit Officer 7701 EAST KELLOGG DRIVE, SUITE 300, WICHITA KS 67207
Chris M Navratil officer: Chief Financial Officer 7701 EAST KELLOGG DRIVE, SUITE 300, WICHITA KS 67207
David Pass officer: Chief Information Officer 821 17TH STREET, DENVER CO 80202
Ann Knutson officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 7701 EAST KELLOGG DRIVE, SUITE 300, WICHITA KS 67207
Richard M Sems officer: President 7701 EAST KELLOGG DRIVE, SUITE 300, WICHITA KS 67207
Gary C Allerheiligen director 7701 EAST KELLOGG DRIVE, SUITE 200, WICHITA KS 67207
Gregory L Gaeddert director 7701 EAST KELLOGG DRIVE, SUITE 200, WICHITA KS 67207
Eric R Newell officer: Chief Financial Officer 7701 E. KELLOGG, SUITE 300, WICHITA KS 67207
Julie A Huber officer: EVP and Chief Credit Officer 7701 EAST KELLOGG DRIVE, SUITE 200, WICHITA KS 67207
Brett A Reber officer: General Counsel 7701 EAST KELLOGG DRIVE, SUITE 300, WICHITA KS 67207
Craig L Anderson officer: Chief Operating Officer 1670 BROADWAY, DENVER CO 80202
Edwin G Lawson officer: Chief Information Officer 7701 EAST KELLOGG DRIVE, SUITE 300, WICHITA KS 67207
Gregory H Kossover director, officer: EVP and CFO 7701 EAST KELLOGG DRIVE, SUITE 200, WICHITA KS 67207
Brad S Elliott director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 7701 EAST KELLOGG DRIVE, SUITE 200, WICHITA KS 67207