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Dine Brands Global (Dine Brands Global) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Dine Brands Global Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Dine Brands Global's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Dine Brands Global's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Restaurants subindustry, Dine Brands Global's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dine Brands Global's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Dine Brands Global's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dine Brands Global's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Dine Brands Global Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.74

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Dine Brands Global  (NYSE:DIN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Dine Brands Global Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Dine Brands Global (Dine Brands Global) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
450 North Brand Boulevard, Glendale, CA, USA, 91203-2346
Dine Brands Global Inc owns and franchises thousands of restaurants under the Applebee's and International House of Pancakes names. Almost all company restaurants are located in the United States and franchised. Royalty revenue, which the company gets from franchisees based on franchisees' sales, accounts for roughly three-quarters of total company revenue. The company also earns revenue by leasing restaurant sites to franchisees. The company has four reportable segments Franchise operations, (an aggregation of Applebee's and IHOP franchise operations), Rental operations, Financing operations, and Company-operated restaurant operations. The majority of revenue is derived from the Franchise operations segment.
Executives
Vance Yuwen Chang officer: Chief Financial Officer 5780 UPLANDER WAY, CULVER CITY CA 90230
John W. Peyton director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 175 PARK AVENUE, MADISON NJ 07940
Michael Hyter director 450 N BRAND BLVD., GLENDALE CA 91203
Jay D. Johns officer: President, IHOP Business Unit 450 NORTH BRAND BLVD, GLENDALE CA 91203
Lilian Tomovich director 2028 GROUSE STREET, LAS VEGAS NV 89134
Richard J Dahl director DOLE FOOD CO, 1 DOLE DRIVE, WESTLAKE CA 91362
Caroline W Nahas director 450 NORTH BRAND BLVD 7TH FL, GLENDALE CA 91203
Martha Poulter director C/O STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE, ONE STARPOINT, STAMFORD CT 06902
Christine K. Son officer: SVP, Legal, GC and Secretary 450 N. BRAND BLVD., 7TH FLOOR, GLENDALE CA 91203
Susan Collyns director 6053 W CENTURY BLVD STE 1100, C/O CALIFORNIA PIZZA KITCHEN INC, LOS ANGLES CA 90045-6430
Tony E. Moralejo officer: President, Applebee's 450 N BRAND BLVD, 7TH FLOOR, GLENDALE CA 91203
Douglas M Pasquale director 245 FICHER AVE STE D-1, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Artie Starrs director 2180 RUTHERFORD ROAD, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Gregg Lemkau director 645 FIFTH AVENUE, 21ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Marc R Lisker director 645 FIFTH AVENUE, 21ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022-5910