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Heavitree Brewery (LSE:HVT) Altman Z-Score : 2.86 (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Heavitree Brewery Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.86 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Heavitree Brewery has a Altman Z-Score of 2.86, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Heavitree Brewery is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Heavitree Brewery's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:HVT' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.5   Med: 2.76   Max: 3.67
Current: 2.86

During the past 13 years, Heavitree Brewery's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.67. The lowest was 2.50. And the median was 2.76.


Heavitree Brewery Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Heavitree Brewery's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Heavitree Brewery Altman Z-Score Chart

Heavitree Brewery Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.89 2.98 2.62 3.67 3.40

Heavitree Brewery Semi-Annual Data
Apr14 Oct14 Apr15 Oct15 Apr16 Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.62 - 3.67 - 3.40

Competitive Comparison of Heavitree Brewery's Altman Z-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, Heavitree Brewery's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Heavitree Brewery's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Heavitree Brewery's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Heavitree Brewery's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Heavitree Brewery Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Heavitree Brewery's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0819+1.4*0.7809+3.3*0.0933+0.6*2.0267+1.0*0.3444
=2.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Oct. 2023:
Total Assets was £21.33 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £1.62 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £3.37 Mil.
Retained Earnings was £16.66 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was £1.83 Mil.
Interest Expense was £-0.17 Mil.
Revenue was £7.35 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was £9.62 Mil.
Total Liabilities was £4.75 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1.623 - 3.369)/21.331
=-0.0819

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=16.658/21.331
=0.7809

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1.826 - -0.165)/21.331
=0.0933

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=9.623/4.748
=2.0267

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=7.346/21.331
=0.3444

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Heavitree Brewery has a Altman Z-Score of 2.86 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Heavitree Brewery  (LSE:HVT) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Heavitree Brewery Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Heavitree Brewery (LSE:HVT) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Heavitree Brewery, Trood Lane, Matford, Exeter, GBR, EX2 8YP
Heavitree Brewery PLC is a UK-based company engaged in the business of leasing and operating public houses. Its geographical segments include the United Kingdom and the United States. The firm mainly involves running and developing tenanted and leased estate. The company owns over 60 pubs which include The Anchor Inn, The Ashcott Inn, The Atmospheric Railway, The Beach Hotel, The Bell Inn, The Brunswick Arms, and others. It also owns land in the United States through its subsidiary while the majority of its revenues are generated from the pubs that it owns in the United Kingdom.