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FAT Brands (FAT Brands) Altman Z-Score : 0.04 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is FAT Brands Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.04 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

FAT Brands has a Altman Z-Score of 0.04, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for FAT Brands's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FAT' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.59   Med: 0.03   Max: 1.98
Current: 0.04

During the past 9 years, FAT Brands's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.98. The lowest was -0.59. And the median was 0.03.


FAT Brands Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for FAT Brands's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

FAT Brands Altman Z-Score Chart

FAT Brands Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 0.41 -0.59 0.03 -0.04 0.03

FAT Brands Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.04 -0.02 -0.03 -0.01 0.03

Competitive Comparison of FAT Brands's Altman Z-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, FAT Brands's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FAT Brands's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, FAT Brands's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FAT Brands's Altman Z-Score falls into.



FAT Brands Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

FAT Brands's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.1121+1.4*-0.1936+3.3*0.0152+0.6*0.0749+1.0*0.3461
=0.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $1,388.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $121.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $276.6 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-268.8 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -35.064 + -25.966 + -5.745 + -29.59 = $-96.4 Mil.
Interest Expense was -33.343 + -29.736 + -24.319 + -30.133 = $-117.5 Mil.
Revenue was 158.636 + 109.366 + 106.764 + 105.691 = $480.5 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $123.1 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,644.1 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(121.009 - 276.602)/1388.238
=-0.1121

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-268.777/1388.238
=-0.1936

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-96.365 - -117.531)/1388.238
=0.0152

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=123.138/1644.101
=0.0749

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=480.457/1388.238
=0.3461

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

FAT Brands has a Altman Z-Score of 0.04 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


FAT Brands  (NAS:FAT) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


FAT Brands Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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FAT Brands (FAT Brands) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9720 Wilshire Boulevard, Suite 500, Beverly Hills, CA, USA, 90212
FAT Brands Inc is a multi-brand restaurant franchising company. It develops, markets, acquires and manages quick service, fast casual, casual dining and polished casual dining restaurant concepts around the world. The company operates as a franchisor of restaurants, where the company generally does not own or operate the restaurant locations but rather generates revenue by charging franchisees an initial franchise fee as well as ongoing royalties. For some of the company's brands, it also directly owns and operates restaurant locations. The primary sources of revenue are the sale of food and beverages at company restaurants and the collection of royalties, franchise fees and advertising revenue from sales of food and beverages at franchised restaurants.
Executives
Andrew Wiederhorn director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O WILSHIRE FINANCIAL SERVICES INC, 1776 SW MADISON STREET, PORTLAND OR 97205
John Stephen Allen director P.O. BOX 2732, GEARHART OR 97138
James G Ellis director C/O QUIKSILVER, INC., 15202 GRAHAM STREET, HUNTINGTON BEACH CA 92649
Fog Cutter Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 9720 WILSHIRE BLVD, SUITE 500, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Matthew Green director
Peter R Feinstein director
John Cameron Metz director 13153 FABERGE PLACE, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33418
Kenneth Kepp director 27929 SW 95TH AVENUE, SUITE 1101, WILSONVILLE OR 97070
Mark Elenowitz director 400 PROFESSIONAL DRIVE, SUITE 310, GAITHERSBURG MD 20879
Tyler Berchtold Child director P.O. BOX 254, ROSS CA 94957
Vidal Paba Maria Carmen director CARRER CAVALLERS NUMBER 56-58, 4TH FLOOR 1ST DOOR, BARCELONA U3 08034
Mason Alan Wiederhorn director 9720 WILSHIRE BLVD., PH, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Lynne Leigh Collier director 8523 FOREST HILLS BLVD, DALLAS TX 75218
John Squire Junger director 16600 PARK LANE CIRCLE, LOS ANGELES CA 90049
Taylor Andrew Wiederhorn officer: Chief Development Officer 9720 WILSHIRE BLVD,, SUITE 500, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212