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BigBear.ai Holdings (BigBear.ai Holdings) Altman Z-Score : -1.50 (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is BigBear.ai Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -1.43 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

BigBear.ai Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of -1.50, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for BigBear.ai Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BBAI' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.98   Med: -1.57   Max: 1.29
Current: -1.43

During the past 6 years, BigBear.ai Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.29. The lowest was -2.98. And the median was -1.57.


BigBear.ai Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for BigBear.ai Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

BigBear.ai Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

BigBear.ai Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - 1.10 -2.54 -1.45

BigBear.ai Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec18 Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.17 -1.59 -1.54 -1.45 -1.19

Competitive Comparison of BigBear.ai Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, BigBear.ai Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BigBear.ai Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, BigBear.ai Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BigBear.ai Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



BigBear.ai Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

BigBear.ai Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1641+1.4*-1.1614+3.3*-0.3842+0.6*1.3577+1.0*0.387
=-1.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $377.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $125.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $63.1 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-438.6 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -125.161 + -21.206 + 3.994 + -16.898 = $-159.3 Mil.
Interest Expense was -3.555 + -3.544 + -3.54 + -3.56 = $-14.2 Mil.
Revenue was 33.121 + 40.563 + 33.988 + 38.459 = $146.1 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $365.4 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $269.1 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(125.036 - 63.07)/377.627
=0.1641

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-438.577/377.627
=-1.1614

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-159.271 - -14.199)/377.627
=-0.3842

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=365.423/269.145
=1.3577

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=146.131/377.627
=0.387

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

BigBear.ai Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of -1.50 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


BigBear.ai Holdings  (NYSE:BBAI) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


BigBear.ai Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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BigBear.ai Holdings (BigBear.ai Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6811 Benjamin Franklin Drive, Suite 200, Columbia, MD, USA, 21046
BigBear.ai Holdings Inc is a technology-led solutions organization, that provides both software and services to its customers. Its AI-powered decision intelligence solutions are leveraged in three markets; supply chains & logistics, autonomous systems, and cybersecurity. It operates in two segments; Cyber & Engineering segment provides high-end technology and management consulting services to its customers, focusing on cloud engineering and enterprise IT, cybersecurity, computer network operations, and wireless, systems engineering, as well as program planning, and Analytics segment provides high-end technology and consulting services to its customers, focusing on data computing and analytical solutions, including predictive and prescriptive analytics solutions.
Executives
Avi S Katz director C/O GIGCAPITAL, INC., 3000 EL CAMINO REAL, BLDG 4, SUITE 232, PALO ALTO CA 94306
Raluca Dinu director C/O GIGCAPITAL2, INC., 2479 E. BAYSHORE RD., SUITE 200, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Pamela Joyce Braden director 1731 EMBARCADERO RD., SUITE 200, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Ae Industrial Partners Fund Ii Gp, Lp 10 percent owner 2500 N. MILITARY TRAIL, SUITE 470, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Norm Laudermilch officer: Chief Operating Officer 6811 BENJAMIN FRANKLIN DRIVE, SUITE 200, COLUMBIA MD 21046
Joshua Lane Kinley officer: Chief Financial Officer 1731 EMBARCADERO RD., SUITE 200, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Amanda Long director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1731 EMBARCADERO ROAD, SUITE 200, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Julie Peffer officer: Chief Financial Officer 1731 EMBARCADERO RD, SUITE 200, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Carolyn Blankenship officer: General Counsel and Secretary 1731 EMBARCADERO RD, SUITE 200, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Ae Industrial Partners Fund Ii, Lp 10 percent owner 2500 N. MILITARY TRAIL, SUITE 470, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Ae Industrial Partners Fund Ii-a, Lp 10 percent owner 2500 N. MILITARY TRAIL, SUITE 470, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Ae Industrial Partners Fund Ii-b, Lp 10 percent owner 2500 N. MILITARY TRAIL, SUITE 470, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Dorothy D Hayes director P.O. BOX 7850, ., MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94039-7850
Michael Robert Greene 10 percent owner 2500 N. MILITARY TRAIL, SUITE 470, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Ae Bbai Aggregator, Lp 10 percent owner 1731 EMBARCADERO RD., SUITE 200, PALO ALTO CA 94303