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Erasca (Erasca) Altman Z2-Score : 0.66 (As of Jun. 01, 2024)


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What is Erasca Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Erasca has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.66, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Erasca's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ERAS' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.4   Med: 2.51   Max: 15.68
Current: 0.66

During the past 5 years, Erasca's highest Altman Z2-Score was 15.68. The lowest was -3.40. And the median was 2.51.


Erasca Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Erasca's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Erasca Altman Z2-Score Chart

Erasca Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
- -3.40 12.64 3.02 1.99

Erasca Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.20 1.73 0.62 1.99 0.66

Competitive Comparison of Erasca's Altman Z2-Score

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Erasca's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Erasca's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Erasca's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Erasca's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Erasca Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Erasca's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.7469+3.26*-1.7324+6.72*-0.3428+1.05*3.5339
=0.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $370.02 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $306.62 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $30.24 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-641.03 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -35.017 + -29.701 + -30.361 + -31.781 = $-126.86 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.00 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $81.61 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(306.623 - 30.243)/370.022
=0.7469

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-641.03/370.022
=-1.7324

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-126.86 - 0)/370.022
=-0.3428

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(288.409 - 0)/81.613
=3.5339

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Erasca has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.66 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Erasca  (NAS:ERAS) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Erasca Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Erasca (Erasca) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3115 Merryfield Row, Suite 300, San Diego, CA, USA, 92121
Erasca Inc is a clinical-stage precision oncology company singularly focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing therapies for patients with RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers. The company's pipeline includes; Naporafenib, a pan-RAF inhibitor with first-in-class potential in NRASm melanoma, RAS Q61X tissue agnostic solid tumors, and other RAS/MAPK pathway-driven tumors, and ERAS-007 (oral ERK1/2 inhibitor) and ERAS-601 (oral SHP2 inhibitor), which target downstream and upstream nodes, respectively, of the RAS/MAPK pathway.
Executives
Jonathan E Lim director, 10 percent owner, officer: See Remarks 11588 SORRENTO VALLEY ROAD, SUITE 17, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Start Valerie Denise Harding director C/O IGNYTA, INC., 11111 FLINTKOTE AVE., SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Alexander W. Casdin director C/O IGNYTA, INC., 11095 FLINTKOTE AVENUE, SUITE D, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Shannon Morris officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O ERASCA, INC., 3115 MERRYFIELD ROW, SUITE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
James Arthur Bristol director C/O DECIPHERA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 200 SMITH STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Cormorant Asset Management, Lp director 200 CLARENDON STREET, 52ND FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Bihua Chen director C/O CORMORANT ASSET MANAGEMENT, LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, 52ND FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Cormorant Global Healthcare Master Fund, Lp director 200 CLARENDON STREET, 52ND FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Cormorant Private Healthcare Fund Ii, Lp director 200 CLARENDON STREET, 52ND FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Jean I Liu director 21823 30TH DRIVE SE, BOTHELL WA 98021
Pratik S Multani director C/O FATE THERAPEUTICS, INC., 3535 GENERAL ATOMICS COURT, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Julie Hambleton director C/O FIVE PRIME THERAPEUTICS, INC., TWO CORPORATE DRIVE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Ebun Garner officer: General Counsel C/O ALPHATEC HOLDINGS, INC., 2051 PALOMAR AIRPORT ROAD, CARLSBAD CA 92011
Lim Conyee T. 10 percent owner C/O ERASCA, INC., 10835 ROAD TO THE CURE #140, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Arch Venture Fund X, L.p. 10 percent owner 8755 W. HIGGINS ROAD, SUITE 1025, CHICAGO IL 60631

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