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Spar Group (JSE:SPP) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 12.85% (As of Sep. 2023)


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What is Spar Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Spar Group's forward rate of return for was 12.85%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Spar Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:SPP' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 9.06   Med: 14.9   Max: 18.77
Current: 13.98

During the past 13 years, Spar Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 18.77. The lowest was 9.06. And the median was 14.90.

JSE:SPP's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
57.02% of 228 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 16.09 vs JSE:SPP: 13.98

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Spar Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Spar Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Spar Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Spar Group Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.73 16.28 16.06 17.68 12.85

Spar Group Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.06 - 17.68 - 12.85

Competitive Comparison of Spar Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Food Distribution subindustry, Spar Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Spar Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Spar Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Spar Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Spar Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Spar Group's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=4.817/116.28+0.0871
=12.85 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Spar Group  (JSE:SPP) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Spar Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Spar Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Spar Group (JSE:SPP) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
22 Chancery Lane, P.O. Box 1589, Pinetown, NL, ZAF, 3600
Spar Group Ltd is a wholesaler and distributor of goods and services to the group's retail outlets such as SPAR stores, Build it builders' merchandise outlets, TOPS at SPAR liquor stores, and others across Southern Africa. The company also has operations that comprise independently owned SPAR, MACE, XL and Londis stores in Ireland and southwest England. The company provides independent retailers the option to own or lease its stores and operate under the SPAR brand. The Southern Africa segment represents the majority of group revenue, with Ireland contributing an increasing proportion. The company delivers goods to the stores by a fleet of trucks and trailers owned by the SPAR Group. The group has two primary private brands namely SPAR and SaveMor.

Spar Group (JSE:SPP) Headlines

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