EVmo (YAYO) Predictability Rank

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What is EVmo Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

EVmo Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

EVmo Predictability Rank Related Terms

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EVmo (YAYO) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » EVmo Inc (OTCPK:YAYO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3201 N. Sepulveda boulevard, Manhattan Beach, CA, USA, 90266

Website

https://www.evmo.com

EVmo Inc is a technology-related car rental company. The company owns and maintains a fleet of new cars and provides them on a rental basis to rideshare drivers. The business is spread across the United States of America.

Executives

John Patrick O'neill	director	C/O YAYYO, INC., 433 N. CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 600, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Stephen M. Sanchez	director	C/O YAYYO, INC., 433 N. CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 600, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Terren S Peizer	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Exe. Cha. of the Board of Dir.	11111 SANTA MONICABLVD STE.500, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Ryan Christopher Saathoff	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3556 RYAN DR., ESCONDIDO CA 92025
Bitnile Holdings, Inc.	10 percent owner	11411 SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS PARKWAY, SUITE 240, LAS VEGAS NV 89141
Gray Mars Venus Trust, Arizona 2015	10 percent owner	433 N. CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 600, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Batrawi Ramy El	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O YAYYO, INC., 433 N. CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 600, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Acuitas Group Holdings, Llc	10 percent owner	2120 COLORADO AVENUE, #230, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
John Gray	10 percent owner	75 AVON AVENUE, MILL VALLEY CA 94941
Harbant Sidhu	director	433 N. CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 600, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Ryan Saathoff	officer: Chief Financial Officer	433 N. CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 600, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Douglas M. Mox	director	C/O YAYYO, INC., 433 N. CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 600, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Boyd Bishop	officer: President	C/O YAYYO, INC., 433 N. CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 600, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
David Haley	10 percent owner	433 N. CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 600, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Laurie Digiovanni	officer: Chief Operating Officer	433 N. CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 600, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210