Wejo Group (Wejo Group) Predictability Rank

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What is Wejo Group Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Wejo Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Wejo Group (Wejo Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Wejo Group Ltd (OTCPK:WEJOF) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

22 Victoria Street, Canon’s Court, Hamilton, BMU, HM12

Website

https://www.wejo.com

Wejo Group Ltd provides software and technology solutions to various market verticals in combination with services that utilize ingested and standardized connected vehicle and other high volume, high value datasets through its proprietary cloud software and analytics platform, Wejo Neural Edge (which includes Wejo ADEPT platform). The Company's sector solutions, delivered at this time in North America and Europe, provide valuable insights to its customers in public and private organizations, including, but not limited to, OEMs, first-tier (Tier 1) automotive suppliers, fleet management companies (Fleets), departments of transportation, retailers, mapping companies, universities, insurance companies, advertising firms, construction firms and research departments.

Executives

David Jack	officer: Interim CTO	ABC BUILDING, 21-23 QUAY ST., MANCHESTER X0 M3 4AE
Benoit Joly	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	C/O WEJO BERMUDA LIMITED, CANON'S COURT, 22 VICTORIA STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM12
Timothy E Lee	director	300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, M/C: 482-C25-A36, DETROIT MI 48265-3000
Alan Masarek	director	C/O VONAGE HOLDINGS CORP., 23 MAIN STREET, HOLMDEL NJ 07733
John T. Maxwell	director, officer: Chief Financial Officer	30 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, WARREN NJ 07059
Ann M. Schwister	director	1 CORPORATE DR., SUITE C, CRANBURY NJ 08512
General Motors Co	10 percent owner	300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, DETROIT MI 48265-3000
General Motors Holdings Llc	10 percent owner	300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, MC 482-C24-A68, DETROIT MI 48265
Samuel Hendel	director	180 POST ROAD EAST, WESTPORT CT 06880
Lawrence D Burns	director	31675 LELA LANE, FRANKLIN MI 48025
Mina Bhama	officer: Gen. Counsel and Company Sec.	C/O WEJO GROUP LIMITED, CANON'S COURT, 22 VICTORIA STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM12
Sarah Jane Larner	officer: Ex. VP - Strategy & Innovation	C/O WEJO GROUP LIMITED, CANON'S COURT, 22 VICTORIA STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM12
Den Beverley Power	officer: Chief People Officer	C/O WEJO GROUP LIMITED, CANON'S COURT, 22 VICTORIA STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM12
Richard Michael Barlow	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O WEJO GROUP LIMITED, CANON'S COURT, 22 VICTORIA STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM12
Diarmid Ogilvy	director	C/O WEJO GROUP LIMITED, CANON'S COURT, 22 VICTORIA STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM12