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Wejo Group (Wejo Group) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-8.57 (As of May. 10, 2024)


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What is Wejo Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-10), Wejo Group's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-8.57.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Wejo Group's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Wejo Group is N/A.

The industry rank for Wejo Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

WEJOF's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Software industry.
Industry Median: 1
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Wejo Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Wejo Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Wejo Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Wejo Group Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Wejo Group Quarterly Data
Dec19 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Wejo Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Wejo Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Wejo Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Wejo Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Wejo Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Wejo Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Wejo Group's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.743.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Wejo Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.743*11.5406
=-8.57

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-8.57-0.0001)/-8.57
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Wejo Group  (OTCPK:WEJOF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Wejo Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Wejo Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Wejo Group (Wejo Group) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
22 Victoria Street, Canon’s Court, Hamilton, BMU, HM12
Wejo Group Ltd provides software and technology solutions to various market verticals in combination with services that utilize ingested and standardized connected vehicle and other high volume, high value datasets through its proprietary cloud software and analytics platform, Wejo Neural Edge (which includes Wejo ADEPT platform). The Company's sector solutions, delivered at this time in North America and Europe, provide valuable insights to its customers in public and private organizations, including, but not limited to, OEMs, first-tier (Tier 1) automotive suppliers, fleet management companies (Fleets), departments of transportation, retailers, mapping companies, universities, insurance companies, advertising firms, construction firms and research departments.
Executives
David Jack officer: Interim CTO ABC BUILDING, 21-23 QUAY ST., MANCHESTER X0 M3 4AE
Benoit Joly officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O WEJO BERMUDA LIMITED, CANON'S COURT, 22 VICTORIA STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM12
Timothy E Lee director 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, M/C: 482-C25-A36, DETROIT MI 48265-3000
Alan Masarek director C/O VONAGE HOLDINGS CORP., 23 MAIN STREET, HOLMDEL NJ 07733
John T. Maxwell director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 30 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, WARREN NJ 07059
Ann M. Schwister director 1 CORPORATE DR., SUITE C, CRANBURY NJ 08512
General Motors Co 10 percent owner 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, DETROIT MI 48265-3000
General Motors Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, MC 482-C24-A68, DETROIT MI 48265
Samuel Hendel director 180 POST ROAD EAST, WESTPORT CT 06880
Lawrence D Burns director 31675 LELA LANE, FRANKLIN MI 48025
Mina Bhama officer: Gen. Counsel and Company Sec. C/O WEJO GROUP LIMITED, CANON'S COURT, 22 VICTORIA STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM12
Sarah Jane Larner officer: Ex. VP - Strategy & Innovation C/O WEJO GROUP LIMITED, CANON'S COURT, 22 VICTORIA STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM12
Den Beverley Power officer: Chief People Officer C/O WEJO GROUP LIMITED, CANON'S COURT, 22 VICTORIA STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM12
Richard Michael Barlow director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O WEJO GROUP LIMITED, CANON'S COURT, 22 VICTORIA STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM12
Diarmid Ogilvy director C/O WEJO GROUP LIMITED, CANON'S COURT, 22 VICTORIA STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM12

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