RBB Bancorp (RBB Bancorp) Predictability Rank

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What is RBB Bancorp Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

RBB Bancorp Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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RBB Bancorp (RBB Bancorp) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » RBB Bancorp (NAS:RBB) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

5SZ:Germany

Address

1055 Wilshire Boulevard, 12th Floor, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90017

Website

https://www.royalbusinessbankusa.com

RBB Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It provides various banking products and services such as checking, savings, money market accounts, and certificates of deposits. Its Specific services include remote deposit, E-banking, mobile banking, commercial and investor real estate loans, business loans and lines of credit, Small Business Administration (SBA) 7A and 504 loans, mortgage loans, trade finance, and a full range of depository accounts. It generates its revenue from interest received on loans and leases and, to a lesser extent, from interest received on investment securities and derives income from noninterest sources, such as fees received in connection with various lending and deposit services, loan servicing, gain on sales of loans, and wealth management services.

Executives

Lee Joyce Wong	director	1055 WILSHIRE BLVD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90017
James Kao	director	1055 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90017
Robert Franko	director	C/O ROYAL BUSINESS BANK, 1055 WILSHIRE BLVD, LOS ANGELES CA 90017
Scott Polakoff	director	1055 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90017
Johnny C Lee	officer: Pres / Chief Banking Officer
Frank Wong	director	1055 WILSHIRE BIVD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90017
Bill Bennett	director	1055 WILSHIRE BLVD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90017
Alex Ko	officer: EVP/Chief Financial Officer	3200 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 14TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 30010
Gary Fan	officer: EVP/Chief Admin Officer	1055 WILSHIRE BLVD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90017
Vincent Liu	officer: EVP	1055 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90017
Simon Pang	officer: EVP	1055 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90017
Yee Phong Thian	officer: President/CEO	1055 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90017
Geraldine Pannu	director	7380 COCA COLA DRIVE, SUITE 106, HANOVER MD 21076
Feng Lin	director	1055 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90017
Paul Lin	director	1055 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90017