Intuitive Machines (Intuitive Machines) Predictability Rank

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What is Intuitive Machines Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Intuitive Machines Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Intuitive Machines (Intuitive Machines) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Aerospace & Defense » Intuitive Machines Inc (NAS:LUNR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3700 Bay Area Boulevard, Sixth Floor, Suite 600, Houston, TX, USA, 77058

Website

https://www.intuitivemachines.com

Intuitive Machines Inc is a space exploration, infrastructure, and services company. It is a diversified space company focused on space exploration. It supplies space products and services to support sustained robotic and human exploration to the Moon, Mars, and beyond. Its products and services are offered through four business units: Lunar Access Services, Orbital Services, Lunar Data Services, and Space Products and Infrastructure.

Executives

Nicole Seligman	director	C/O VIACOM INC., 1515 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Anna Chiara Jones	officer: GC & Corporate Secretary	C/O INTUITIVE MACHINES, 3700 BAY AREA BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77058
Masson Robert L. Ii	director	787 WATERVLIET SHAKER ROAD, LATHAM NY 12110
Gm Enterprises, Llc	10 percent owner	801 THOMPSON AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20852
Intuitive Machines Kg Parent, Llc	10 percent owner	801 THOMPSON AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20852
Ghaffarian Enterprises, Llc	10 percent owner	801 THOMPSON AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20852
Steven Vontur	officer: Corporate Controller	C/O INTUITIVE MACHINES, 3700 BAY AREA BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77058
Liquori William John Jr	director	C/O INTUITIVE MACHINES, 3700 BAY AREA BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77058
Kamal Seyed Ghaffarian	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman	C/O INTUITIVE MACHINES, 3700 BAY AREA BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77058
Stephen J Altemus	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O INTUITIVE MACHINES, 3700 BAY AREA BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77058
Sallee Erik Robinson Worley	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O INTUITIVE MACHINES, 3700 BAY AREA BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77058
Crain Timothy Price Ii	10 percent owner, officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O INTUITIVE MACHINES, 3700 BAY AREA BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77058
Hgc Investment Management Inc.	10 percent owner	1073 YONGE ST, 2ND FLOOR, TORONTO A6 M4W 2L2
Polar Asset Management Partners Inc.	10 percent owner	16 YORK STREET SUITE 2900, TORONTO A6 M5J 0E6
Erin Clift	director	C/O INFLECTION POINT ACQUISITION CORP., 34 EAST 51ST STREET, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022