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Voya Global Equity Dividend and Premium Opportunity Fund (Voya Global Equity Dividend and Premium Opportunity Fund) Predictability Rank


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What is Voya Global Equity Dividend and Premium Opportunity Fund Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Voya Global Equity Dividend and Premium Opportunity Fund Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Voya Global Equity Dividend and Premium Opportunity Fund Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Voya Global Equity Dividend and Premium Opportunity Fund (Voya Global Equity Dividend and Premium Opportunity Fund) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Voya Global Equity Dividend and Premium Opportunity Fund (NYSE:IGD) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
JPI SCU RMT MMU HPS ISD FEI THW NQP MVF BLK BX OSTO:INVE A TSX:BN KKR APO BK AMP XSWX:PGHN LSE:III
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
7337 East Doubletree Ranch Road, Suite 100, Scottsdale, AZ, USA, 85258
Website
https://www.voyainvestments.com
Voya Global Equity Dividend and Premium Opportunity Fund are a United States-based diversified, closed-end Fund. The primary objective of the Fund is to seek to provide investors with a high level of income from a portfolio of global common stocks with historically attractive dividend yields and premiums from call option writing. Its secondary investment objective is capital appreciation. Under normal market conditions, the Fund will invest at least 80% of its managed assets in a portfolio of common stocks of dividend-paying companies located throughout the world.
Executives
Vincent J Costa other: Managing Director 800 SCUDDERS MILL ROAD, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536
Steven Wetter officer: SVP, PM 230 PARK AVENUE, 14 FL, NEW YORK NY 10169
Margaret Diorio officer: SVP, PM 230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Paul Zemsky other: SMD, CIO 230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Mark Weber officer: Senior Managing Director 230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Dina Santoro officer: Managing Director VOYA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, 230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Lydia Homer officer: Chief Financial Officer, Funds 7337 E DOUBLETREE RANCH ROAD, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85258
Christopher P Sullivan director 27 LEE TERRACE, SHORT HILLS NJ 07078
Michael Allyn Bell officer: MD & Chief Financial Officer 230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Russell H Jones director
Joseph E Obermeyer director 9909 NE 4TH AVENUE ROAD, MIAMI SHORES FL 33138
Martin J Gavin director 282 WASHINGTON STREET, HARTFORD CT 06106
Deprince Albert E Jr director 3029 ST. JOHNS DRIVE, MURFREESBORO TN 37129
Satish Sadashiv Bapat officer: to subadvisor SCHENKKADE 65, THE HAGUE P7 2595 AS
Dirk Albert Buggenhout officer: to subadvisor SCHENKKADE 65, THE HAGUE P7 2595 AS

Voya Global Equity Dividend and Premium Opportunity Fund (Voya Global Equity Dividend and Premium Opportunity Fund) Headlines

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