Hope Bancorp (Hope Bancorp) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 1998. Start your Free Trial

What is Hope Bancorp Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Hope Bancorp Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Hope Bancorp Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Hope Bancorp's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Hope Bancorp (Hope Bancorp) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Hope Bancorp Inc (NAS:HOPE) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

NRB:Germany

Address

3200 Wilshire Boulevard, Suite 1400, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90010

Website

https://www.bankofhope.com

Hope Bancorp Inc is a bank holding company engaged in providing financial services. It offers core business banking products for small and medium-sized businesses and individuals. Services offered by the bank include online banking, mobile banking, mortgage loans, credit cards, investment and wealth management services and other banking services.

Executives

Thomas Stenger	officer: EVP, Chief Risk Officer	3200 WILSHIRE BLVD STE 1400, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Angelee Harris	officer: EVP, General Counsel	525 J STREET, SACRAMENTO CA 95814
Dale S. Zuehls	director	3200 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 1400, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Julianna Balicka	officer: EVP, CFO	3200 WILSHIRE BLVD. STE. 1400, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
William J Lewis	director	415 HUNTINGTON DRIVE, SAN MARINO CA 91108
Mary E Thigpen	director	3700 S. STONEBRIDGE DRIVE, MCKINNEY TX 75070
Steven Koh	director	3200 WILSHIRE BLVD, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Joon Kyung Kim	director	3200 WILSHIRE BLVD STE 1400, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Chung Hyun Lee	director	3435 WILSHIRE BLVD SUITE 700, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Alex Ko	officer: EVP, Deputy CFO	3200 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 14TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 30010
Hung Quoc Van	officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer	2954 COLERIDGE CIR, PASADENA CA 91107
James Hwang	director	5669 LAKESHORE DR, FRISCO TX 75036
Jason K Kim	officer: EVP, Chief Lending Officer	3435 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 700, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Peter Koh	officer: EVP, Chief Credit Officer	3200 WILSHIRE BLVD, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
David P Malone	director	3200 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 1400, LOS ANGELES CA 90010