Hemisphere Media Group (Hemisphere Media Group) Predictability Rank

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What is Hemisphere Media Group Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Hemisphere Media Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Hemisphere Media Group Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Hemisphere Media Group (Hemisphere Media Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Hemisphere Media Group Inc (NAS:HMTV) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

4000 Ponce de Leon Boulevard, Suite 650, Coral Gables, FL, USA, 33146

Website

https://www.hemispheretv.com

Hemisphere Media Group Inc is a Spanish-language media company. It owns and operates several Spanish-language networks and content production platform, including movie and telenovela channels, Hispanic entertainment genres, and the cable television networks. The several Spanish Spanish-language networks and content production platform owned by the company includes Cinelatino, WAPA, WAPA America, Pasiones, Centroamerica TV and Television Dominicana. The company operates through a single segment being the operation of Spanish-language Networks and content platforms. Hemisphere generates revenue from the sale of advertising and broadcasting.

Executives

Gemini Latin Holdings, Llc	10 percent owner	405 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10174
Gato Investments Lp	10 percent owner	405 LEXINGTON AVE, 48TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10151
Hwk Parent, Llc	10 percent owner	C/O INTERMEDIA ADVISORS, LLC, 228 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, PMB 67521, NEW YORK NY 10003-1502
Fine Capital Partners, L.p.	10 percent owner	3 COLUMBUS CIRCLE, 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Edenbrook Capital, Llc	10 percent owner	116 RADIO CIRCLE, SUITE 202, MT. KISCO NY 10549
Jonathan Brolin	10 percent owner	2 DEPOT PLAZA, 4TH FLOOR, BEDFORD HILLS NY 10507
John Anthony Garcia	officer: EVP, SALES & REVENUE	C/O HEMISPHERE MEDIA GROUP, INC., 4000 PONCE DE LEON BLVD., SUITE 650, CORAL GABLES FL 33146
Adam Reiss	director	745 FIFTH AVENUE, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10151
Paul Leon Presburger	officer: Officer of Subsidiary Division	4000 PONCE DE LEON BLVD., SUITE 650, CORAL GABLES FL 33146
Monica B. Silverstein	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	C/O HEMISPHERE MEDIA GROUP, INC., 4000 PONCE DE LEON BLVD., SUITE 650, CORAL GABLES FL 33146
Jorge Hidalgo	officer: Officer of Subsidiary Division	C/O HEMISPHERE MEDIA GROUP, INC., 4000 PONCE DE LEON BLVD., SUITE 650, CORAL GABLES FL 33146
Grupo Mvs Capital, S. De R.l. De C.v.	10 percent owner	SIERRA GORDA 505, LOMAS DE CHAPULTEPEC, VIII SECC, MIGUEL HIDALGO, MEXICO CITY O5 11000
Cinema Aeropuerto, S.a. De C.v.	10 percent owner	BLVD. MANUEL AVILA CAMACHO 147, CHAPULTEPEC MORALES, CUIDAD DE MEXICO, D.F. O5 11510
Hindery Leo J. Jr.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O HMG, INC., C/O CINE LATINO, INC., 2000 PONCE DE LEON BLVD, SUITE 500, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Sonia Dula	director	4000 PONCE DE LEON BLVD., SUITE 650, CORAL GABLES FL 33146