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Fintech Scion (Fintech Scion) Predictability Rank


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What is Fintech Scion Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Fintech Scion Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Fintech Scion Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Fintech Scion (Fintech Scion) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Fintech Scion Ltd (OTCPK:FINR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
FTCH LQDT TDUP OSTK WBUY QRTEA JMIA DTC NEGG PRTS AMZN BABA PDD HKSE:03690 MELI JD CPNG SE EBAY TSE:4689
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Portman House, 2 Portman Street, London, GBR, W1H 6DU
Website
https://www.fintechcashier.com
Fintech Scion Ltd Formerly HWGC Holdings Ltd offers digital banking services by providing the tools, skills and solutions to facilitate payment services to merchants, offering a variety of secured, online and fully managed transactions and settlements. It provides a financial layered ecosystem built on a broad technology infrastructure that enables financial institutions to offer a consolidated experience. The Company support different verticals serving the business-to-business, business-to-consumer and consumer-to-business landscape.
Executives
Shalom Dodoun 10 percent owner PORTMAN HOUSE, 2 PORTMAN STREET,, LONDON X0 W1H 6DU
Lip Bin Mok director 37, JALAN BUKIT MALURI 14, TAMAN BUKIT MALURI, FEDERAL TERRITORY KUALA LUMPUR N8 52100
Chun Hoo Lim director, 10 percent owner NO. 59, JALAN MANJA 5, VILLA MANJA, SUNWAY SPK DAMANSARA, FEDERAL TERRITORY KUALA LUMPUR N8 52200
Christine Kulbas director PORTMAN HOUSE, 2 PORTMAN STREET, 4TH FLOOR FINTECHCASHIER OFFICE, LONDON X0 W1H 6DU
Yee Ming Leong director, officer: CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER C-7-11 OAKLEAF PARK CONDO, BUKIT ANTARABANGSA, AMPANG N8 68000
Lim Hui Sing 10 percent owner NO.27, JLN DU 4/7, TAMAN DAMAI UTAMA, PUCHONG, SELANGOR N8 47180
Wee Kiat Lim director, 10 percent owner, officer: SECRETARY & CHAIRMAN OF BOARD NO. 22A JALAN PJU 3/16 B, DAMANSARA INDAH RESORT HOMES, PETALING JAYA N8 47410
Chun Yen Lim 10 percent owner 792 CAMERON EAST TOWER, BLK 3B, GASHING HEIGHTS CONDO, PETALING JAYA N8 46000
Chun Hoo Lim director 59 JALAN MANJA 5, VILLA MANJA SUNWAY SPK, DAMANSARA, WILAYAH PERSEKUTUAN, KUALA LUMPUR N8 52200

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