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Fintech Scion (Fintech Scion) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.43% (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Fintech Scion Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Fintech Scion's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.43%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Fintech Scion's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Fintech Scion's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fintech Scion's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Fintech Scion's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fintech Scion's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Fintech Scion Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.45

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.43%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Fintech Scion  (OTCPK:FINR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Fintech Scion Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Fintech Scion (Fintech Scion) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Fintech Scion Ltd (OTCPK:FINR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Portman House, 2 Portman Street, London, GBR, W1H 6DU
Fintech Scion Ltd Formerly HWGC Holdings Ltd offers digital banking services by providing the tools, skills and solutions to facilitate payment services to merchants, offering a variety of secured, online and fully managed transactions and settlements. It provides a financial layered ecosystem built on a broad technology infrastructure that enables financial institutions to offer a consolidated experience. The Company support different verticals serving the business-to-business, business-to-consumer and consumer-to-business landscape.
Executives
Shalom Dodoun 10 percent owner PORTMAN HOUSE, 2 PORTMAN STREET,, LONDON X0 W1H 6DU
Lip Bin Mok director 37, JALAN BUKIT MALURI 14, TAMAN BUKIT MALURI, FEDERAL TERRITORY KUALA LUMPUR N8 52100
Chun Hoo Lim director, 10 percent owner NO. 59, JALAN MANJA 5, VILLA MANJA, SUNWAY SPK DAMANSARA, FEDERAL TERRITORY KUALA LUMPUR N8 52200
Christine Kulbas director PORTMAN HOUSE, 2 PORTMAN STREET, 4TH FLOOR FINTECHCASHIER OFFICE, LONDON X0 W1H 6DU
Yee Ming Leong director, officer: CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER C-7-11 OAKLEAF PARK CONDO, BUKIT ANTARABANGSA, AMPANG N8 68000
Lim Hui Sing 10 percent owner NO.27, JLN DU 4/7, TAMAN DAMAI UTAMA, PUCHONG, SELANGOR N8 47180
Wee Kiat Lim director, 10 percent owner, officer: SECRETARY & CHAIRMAN OF BOARD NO. 22A JALAN PJU 3/16 B, DAMANSARA INDAH RESORT HOMES, PETALING JAYA N8 47410
Chun Yen Lim 10 percent owner 792 CAMERON EAST TOWER, BLK 3B, GASHING HEIGHTS CONDO, PETALING JAYA N8 46000
Chun Hoo Lim director 59 JALAN MANJA 5, VILLA MANJA SUNWAY SPK, DAMANSARA, WILAYAH PERSEKUTUAN, KUALA LUMPUR N8 52200

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